Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat preview
In the upcoming match between Al-Ahli Jeddah and Al Khaleej Saihat, the 1X2 probabilities show Al-Ahli Jeddah at 74%, with a likely scoreline of 2-0 at 11%. Al-Ahli Jeddah has a strong expected goals figure of 2.51, while Al Khaleej Saihat sits at 0.81.
However, Al Khaleej Saihat's recent form includes a win and three draws, which could challenge the expected outcome. The model suggests a 64% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance for both teams to score, indicating potential for surprises in this match.
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat: model vs market
| Source | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Draw | Al Khaleej Saihat |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 74% | 17% | 9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 74% | 17% | 9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.52 vs 0.80.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Al-Ahli Jeddah and Al Khaleej Saihat expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.32
- Attack rating (Al-Ahli Jeddah / Al Khaleej Saihat)
- 1.58 / 0.70
- Defence rating (Al-Ahli Jeddah / Al Khaleej Saihat)
- 0.81 / 1.02
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Al-Ahli Jeddah goals. Columns: Al Khaleej Saihat goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 52%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 74% | 1.35 |
| Draw | 17% | 5.87 | |
| Al Khaleej Saihat | 9% | 10.99 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64% | 1.55 |
| Under 2.5 | 36% | 2.81 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52% | 1.94 |
| No | 48% | 2.06 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw) | 91% | 1.10 |
| 12 (either side) | 83% | 1.21 | |
| X2 (draw or Al Khaleej Saihat) | 26% | 3.83 | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Ahli Jeddah win by 2+ | 53% | 1.90 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Al-Ahli Jeddah and Al Khaleej Saihat recent form
Al-Ahli Jeddah
3W 0D 3L
Al Khaleej Saihat
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Al-Ahli Jeddah at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 4.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They average 4.0 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Al Khaleej Saihat away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Al-Ahli Jeddah at home only, Al Khaleej Saihat away only.
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Al-Ahli Jeddah 2 · draws 0 · Al Khaleej Saihat 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 1-4 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Saudi Arabia Pro League |
| 2026-01-20 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 4-1 | Al Khaleej Saihat | Saudi Arabia Pro League |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha 2026-10-22
- Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab 2026-10-22
- Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Nassr — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- Al-Qadisiyah FC v Al-Hilal Saudi FC — match page 2026-10-23
- NEOM vs Abha 2026-10-24
- Al Kholood v Al-Ettifaq — match page 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Al-Ahli Jeddah, previous: Al-Fayha – Al-Ahli Jeddah, 2026-10-19
- Al Khaleej Saihat, previous: Al-Fateh vs Al Khaleej Saihat: odds and pick