Al Kholood vs Al-Ettifaq preview
In the match between Al Kholood and Al-Ettifaq, the 1X2 probabilities show Al Kholood at 28%, a draw at 26%, and Al-Ettifaq at 47%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which has a 9% probability. Al Kholood's expected goals stand at 1.29, while Al-Ettifaq has a higher expected goals figure of 1.73.
Both teams have struggled recently, with Al Kholood recording three losses in their last five matches, while Al-Ettifaq has drawn three times in their last five. The model indicates a 58% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance for both teams to score. These factors could influence the outcome, but the recent form of both teams may also lead to unexpected results.
Al Kholood vs Al-Ettifaq: model vs market
| Source | Al Kholood | Draw | Al-Ettifaq |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28% | 26% | 47% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 28% | 26% | 47% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 1.29.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Al Kholood and Al-Ettifaq expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.02
- Attack rating (Al Kholood / Al-Ettifaq)
- 0.86 / 1.01
- Defence rating (Al Kholood / Al-Ettifaq)
- 1.21 / 0.96
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Al Kholood vs Al-Ettifaq score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Al Kholood goals. Columns: Al-Ettifaq goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Al Kholood vs Al-Ettifaq goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 61%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Al Kholood vs Al-Ettifaq
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Kholood | 28% | 3.63 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.88 | |
| Al-Ettifaq | 47% | 2.14 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58% | 1.72 |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 2.39 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61% | 1.65 |
| No | 39% | 2.55 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Al Kholood or draw) | 53% | 1.88 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Al-Ettifaq) | 72% | 1.38 | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Ettifaq win by 2+ | 26% | 3.89 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Al Kholood and Al-Ettifaq recent form
Al Kholood
2W 1D 3L
Al-Ettifaq
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Al Kholood at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.25
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 58% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Al-Ettifaq away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-0
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Al Kholood at home only, Al-Ettifaq away only.
Al Kholood vs Al-Ettifaq head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Al Kholood 0 · draws 0 · Al-Ettifaq 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Al Kholood | 1-2 | Al-Ettifaq | Saudi Arabia Pro League |
| 2025-08-28 | Al-Ettifaq | 2-1 | Al Kholood | Saudi Arabia Pro League |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha 2026-10-22
- Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab 2026-10-22
- Al-Ahli Jeddah v Al Khaleej Saihat — match page 2026-10-22
- Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Nassr — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- Al-Qadisiyah FC v Al-Hilal Saudi FC — match page 2026-10-23
- NEOM vs Abha 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Al Kholood, previous: Abha v Al Kholood analysis
- Al-Ettifaq, previous: Al-Ettifaq – Al-Ittihad FC, 2026-10-20