Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Ittihad FC preview
In the upcoming match between Al-Ettifaq and Al-Ittihad FC, the 1X2 probabilities show Al-Ettifaq at 37% and Al-Ittihad FC at 38%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with an 8% probability. The expected goals are close, with Al-Ettifaq at 1.58 and Al-Ittihad FC at 1.61.
Both teams to score stands at 65%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 62%. Al-Ettifaq's recent form shows D-D-D-W-L-L, while Al-Ittihad FC has a stronger run with L-W-W-W-D-W. The head-to-head record is even, with each team winning once in their last two encounters. A surprising turn in form or a defensive error could impact the expected outcomes.
Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Ittihad FC: model vs market
| Source | Al-Ettifaq | Draw | Al-Ittihad FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37% | 26% | 38% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 37% | 26% | 38% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Al-Ettifaq and Al-Ittihad FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.19
- Attack rating (Al-Ettifaq / Al-Ittihad FC)
- 1.01 / 1.18
- Defence rating (Al-Ettifaq / Al-Ittihad FC)
- 0.96 / 1.01
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Ittihad FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Al-Ettifaq goals. Columns: Al-Ittihad FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Ittihad FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 65%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Ittihad FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Ettifaq | 37% | 2.72 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.91 | |
| Al-Ittihad FC | 38% | 2.66 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62% | 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 2.62 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65% | 1.55 |
| No | 35% | 2.82 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Al-Ettifaq or draw) | 62% | 1.60 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Al-Ittihad FC) | 63% | 1.58 | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Ittihad FC win by 2+ | 19% | 5.19 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Al-Ettifaq and Al-Ittihad FC recent form
Al-Ettifaq
1W 3D 2L
Al-Ittihad FC
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Al-Ettifaq at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Al-Ittihad FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Al-Ettifaq at home only, Al-Ittihad FC away only.
Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Ittihad FC head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Al-Ettifaq 1 · draws 0 · Al-Ittihad FC 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | Al-Ettifaq | 1-3 | Al-Ittihad FC | Saudi Arabia Pro League |
| 2026-01-16 | Al-Ittihad FC | 0-1 | Al-Ettifaq | Saudi Arabia Pro League |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Al-Fateh v Al Khaleej Saihat — match page 2026-10-18
- Al-Fayha v Al-Ahli Jeddah — match page 2026-10-19
- Abha vs Al Kholood — team news & stats 2026-10-19
- Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Hazm — team news & stats 2026-10-19
- Al Shabab vs Al-Faisaly FC 2026-10-19
- Al Diriyah vs Al Riyadh 2026-10-20
- Al Taawon v Al-Qadisiyah FC — match page 2026-10-20
- Al-Nassr vs NEOM — team news & stats 2026-10-20
Before and after this match
- Al-Ettifaq, previous: NEOM – Al-Ettifaq, 2026-10-17
- Al-Ettifaq, next: Al Kholood v Al-Ettifaq analysis
- Al-Ittihad FC, previous: Al-Ittihad FC v Al Shabab analysis
- Al-Ittihad FC, next: Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah prediction