Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC preview
In the Saudi Arabia Pro League, Al-Qadisiyah FC faces Al-Hilal Saudi FC with 34% chances for Al-Qadisiyah FC to win, 24% for a draw, and 42% for Al-Hilal Saudi FC to win. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which aligns with expected goals of 1.60 for Al-Qadisiyah FC and 1.80 for Al-Hilal Saudi FC.
Both teams have strong recent form, with Al-Qadisiyah FC winning 6 of their last 6 matches and Al-Hilal Saudi FC winning 5 of their last 6. However, the confidence grade is C, indicating potential uncertainty. The model suggests a high likelihood for Over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams to score at 68%, but fluctuations in performance could lead to different outcomes.
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC: model vs market
| Source | Al-Qadisiyah FC | Draw | Al-Hilal Saudi FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34% | 24% | 42% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 34% | 24% | 42% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Hilal Saudi FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.40
- Attack rating (Al-Qadisiyah FC / Al-Hilal Saudi FC)
- 1.65 / 1.70
- Defence rating (Al-Qadisiyah FC / Al-Hilal Saudi FC)
- 0.75 / 0.62
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Al-Qadisiyah FC goals. Columns: Al-Hilal Saudi FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 68%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 34% | 2.98 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.09 | |
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 42% | 2.38 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66% | 1.51 |
| Under 2.5 | 34% | 2.95 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68% | 1.48 |
| No | 32% | 3.09 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Al-Qadisiyah FC or draw) | 58% | 1.73 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Al-Hilal Saudi FC) | 66% | 1.50 | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC win by 2+ | 23% | 4.34 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Hilal Saudi FC recent form
Al-Qadisiyah FC
5W 1D 0L
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
5W 0D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Al-Qadisiyah FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-1
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 2.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game on the road against 2.2 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Al-Hilal Saudi FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 4.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.25
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 7 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 3.2 goals per match.
- They average 4.0 goals per game on the road against 2.5 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Al-Qadisiyah FC at home only, Al-Hilal Saudi FC away only.
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Al-Qadisiyah FC 0 · draws 2 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 2-2 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Saudi Arabia Pro League |
| 2025-09-13 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 2-2 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | Saudi Arabia Pro League |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha 2026-10-22
- Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab 2026-10-22
- Al-Ahli Jeddah v Al Khaleej Saihat — match page 2026-10-22
- Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Nassr — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah — team news & stats 2026-10-23
Before and after this match
- Al-Qadisiyah FC, previous: Al Taawon v Al-Qadisiyah FC analysis
- Al-Hilal Saudi FC, previous: Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Hazm prediction