Inverness CT vs Livingston preview
Inverness CT faces Livingston with a 38% chance of winning compared to Livingston's 33%. The most likely scoreline from our model is 1-0, which occurs 8% of the time. Inverness CT has an expected goals figure of 1.18, while Livingston's is slightly higher at 1.32.
Both teams to score stands at 52%, indicating a decent chance for both sides to find the net. However, recent form shows Inverness CT with three wins in their last five matches, while Livingston has won three of their last six. This could influence the outcome, especially if Livingston's form improves.
Inverness CT vs Livingston: model vs market
| Source | Inverness CT | Draw | Livingston |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32% | 29% | 39% |
| Market | 40% | 28% | 31% |
| Published | 38% | 29% | 33% |
| Edge | -2% | 0% | +2% |
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.38, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Inverness CT vs Livingston odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Inverness CT, 12 snapshots since 2026-11-01.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inverness CT | 2.58 | 2.27 | -0.31 |
| Draw | 3.17 | 3.25 | +0.08 |
| Livingston | 2.56 | 2.92 | +0.36 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Inverness CT and Livingston expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.50
- Attack rating (Inverness CT / Livingston)
- 1.16 / 1.13
- Defence rating (Inverness CT / Livingston)
- 1.10 / 0.79
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Inverness CT vs Livingston score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Inverness CT goals. Columns: Livingston goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Inverness CT vs Livingston goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 52%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Inverness CT vs Livingston
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inverness CT | 38% | 2.61 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.50 | |
| Livingston | 33% | 3.01 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46% | 2.19 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 1.84 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52% | 1.92 |
| No | 48% | 2.09 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Inverness CT or draw) | 67% | 1.50 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.40 | |
| X2 (draw or Livingston) | 62% | 1.62 | |
| Handicap -1 | Inverness CT win by 2+ | 14% | 7.28 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Inverness CT and Livingston recent form
Inverness CT
4W 0D 2L
Livingston
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Inverness CT at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Livingston away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 6
- They have won 6 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 13 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Inverness CT at home only, Livingston away only.
Inverness CT vs Livingston head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Inverness CT 4 · draws 4 · Livingston 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Livingston | 2-2 | Inverness CT | Scotland Championship |
| 2024-10-12 | Livingston | 2-2 | Inverness CT | Challenge Cup |
| 2023-02-11 | Livingston | 0-3 | Inverness CT | FA Cup |
| 2022-07-12 | Livingston | 1-2 | Inverness CT | League Cup |
| 2020-02-08 | Inverness CT | 1-0 | Livingston | FA Cup |
| 2018-04-24 | Livingston | 0-1 | Inverness CT | Championship |
| 2018-01-02 | Inverness CT | 1-1 | Livingston | Championship |
| 2017-11-04 | Livingston | 0-0 | Inverness CT | Championship |
| 2017-09-16 | Inverness CT | 1-3 | Livingston | Championship |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline 2026-11-06
- Morton vs Stenhousemuir — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Arbroath v Ayr Utd — match page 2026-11-07
- Queen's Park vs Partick — team news & stats 2026-11-07
Before and after this match
- Inverness CT, previous: Dunfermline vs Inverness CT: odds and pick
- Livingston, previous: Stenhousemuir – Livingston, 2026-10-30