Updated

Scotland Championship · Matchday 14

Queen's Park vs Partick

· The City Stadium, Glasgow· Referee C. Stirling

Alin prediction Partick to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 0 – 1

16% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Queen's ParkDrawPartick
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 0.63.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Partick is the favourite, not a value bet.
Best market odds
Queen's Park7.85 Draw5.00 Partick1.39

Price as of

Expected return at 1.39: -8.3% per unit staked

Queen's Park vs Partick preview

In the Scotland Championship fixture between Queen's Park and Partick, the 1X2 probabilities show Partick at 63%, compared to Queen's Park at just 9%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 23%. Queen's Park has struggled recently, with a form of L-L-W-L-L-L, while Partick has performed well, recording W-D-W-W-W-D.

The expected goals further highlight the disparity, with Queen's Park at 0.37 and Partick at 1.44. Although the chances for Over 2.5 goals stand at 27% and both teams to score at 25%, the low expected goals for Queen's Park could lead to a different outcome than anticipated.

Queen's Park vs Partick: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceQueen's ParkDrawPartick
Model13%26%61%
Market13%20%68%
Published13%21%66%
Edge0%+2%-2%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 0.63.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.39, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Queen's Park vs Partick odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Partick, 12 snapshots since 2026-11-01.

Opened 1.33Now 1.36 +0.03
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Queen's Park7.377.27-0.10
Draw4.704.62-0.08
Partick1.331.36+0.03

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Queen's Park and Partick expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.63Queen's Park
1.66Partick
Total expected goals
2.30
Attack rating (Queen's Park / Partick)
0.69 / 1.15
Defence rating (Queen's Park / Partick)
1.35 / 0.71

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Queen's Park vs Partick score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 11.1% 15.7% 13.9% 7.7% 4.7% 1 5.3% 11.6% 8.8% 4.9% 3.0% 2 2.0% 3.3% 2.8% 1.5% 0.9% 3 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.2% 4+ 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Queen's Park goals. Columns: Partick goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Queen's Park vs Partick goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 89%
Over 1.5 68%
Over 2.5 40%
Over 3.5 20%
Both teams to score
39%
No goals (0–0)
11%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Queen's Park vs Partick

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Queen's Park13%7.90
Draw21%4.68
Partick66%1.52
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.540%2.48
Under 2.560%1.68
Both teams to scoreYes39%2.56
No61%1.64
Double chance1X (Queen's Park or draw)34%2.94
12 (either side)79%1.27
X2 (draw or Partick)87%1.14
Handicap -1Partick win by 2+35%2.84
Push (exactly one goal)26%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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Queen's Park and Partick recent form

Queen's Park 1W 0D 5L
Partick 4W 1D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Queen's Park at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-4
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
0.83
Goals against / match
1.50
Clean sheets
0 of 6
  • They have won 2 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 13 matches.
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Partick away

Record (W-D-L)
3-2-1
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
0.67
Clean sheets
2 of 6
  • They have won 7 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 13 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Queen's Park at home only, Partick away only.

Queen's Park vs Partick head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Queen's Park 0 · draws 4 · Partick 6.

Queen's ParkDrawsPartick
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-08-29Partick0-0Queen's ParkScotland Championship
2026-05-01Partick1-1Queen's ParkScotland Championship
2025-12-27Queen's Park2-2PartickScotland Championship
2025-11-01Partick5-0Queen's ParkScotland Championship
2025-09-30Queen's Park0-1PartickScotland Championship
2025-03-11Queen's Park0-2PartickChampionship
2024-12-28Partick2-1Queen's ParkChampionship
2024-11-30Queen's Park2-2PartickScotland FA Cup
2024-10-26Queen's Park0-1PartickChampionship
2024-08-31Partick3-0Queen's ParkChampionship

Other Matchday 14 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Partick to win Predicted score 0 – 1 C Bet on Partick