Queen's Park vs Partick preview
In the Scotland Championship fixture between Queen's Park and Partick, the 1X2 probabilities show Partick at 63%, compared to Queen's Park at just 9%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 23%. Queen's Park has struggled recently, with a form of L-L-W-L-L-L, while Partick has performed well, recording W-D-W-W-W-D.
The expected goals further highlight the disparity, with Queen's Park at 0.37 and Partick at 1.44. Although the chances for Over 2.5 goals stand at 27% and both teams to score at 25%, the low expected goals for Queen's Park could lead to a different outcome than anticipated.
Queen's Park vs Partick: model vs market
| Source | Queen's Park | Draw | Partick |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 13% | 26% | 61% |
| Market | 13% | 20% | 68% |
| Published | 13% | 21% | 66% |
| Edge | 0% | +2% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 0.63.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.39, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Queen's Park vs Partick odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Partick, 12 snapshots since 2026-11-01.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Queen's Park | 7.37 | 7.27 | -0.10 |
| Draw | 4.70 | 4.62 | -0.08 |
| Partick | 1.33 | 1.36 | +0.03 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Queen's Park and Partick expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.30
- Attack rating (Queen's Park / Partick)
- 0.69 / 1.15
- Defence rating (Queen's Park / Partick)
- 1.35 / 0.71
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Queen's Park vs Partick score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Queen's Park goals. Columns: Partick goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Queen's Park vs Partick goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 39%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Queen's Park vs Partick
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Queen's Park | 13% | 7.90 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.68 | |
| Partick | 66% | 1.52 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40% | 2.48 |
| Under 2.5 | 60% | 1.68 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39% | 2.56 |
| No | 61% | 1.64 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Queen's Park or draw) | 34% | 2.94 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.27 | |
| X2 (draw or Partick) | 87% | 1.14 | |
| Handicap -1 | Partick win by 2+ | 35% | 2.84 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer | |
| 2 | First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer | |
| 3 | 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer | |
| 4 | 200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Queen's Park and Partick recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Queen's Park at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-4
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 0.83
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 13 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Partick away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 7 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Queen's Park at home only, Partick away only.
Queen's Park vs Partick head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Queen's Park 0 · draws 4 · Partick 6.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Partick | 0-0 | Queen's Park | Scotland Championship |
| 2026-05-01 | Partick | 1-1 | Queen's Park | Scotland Championship |
| 2025-12-27 | Queen's Park | 2-2 | Partick | Scotland Championship |
| 2025-11-01 | Partick | 5-0 | Queen's Park | Scotland Championship |
| 2025-09-30 | Queen's Park | 0-1 | Partick | Scotland Championship |
| 2025-03-11 | Queen's Park | 0-2 | Partick | Championship |
| 2024-12-28 | Partick | 2-1 | Queen's Park | Championship |
| 2024-11-30 | Queen's Park | 2-2 | Partick | Scotland FA Cup |
| 2024-10-26 | Queen's Park | 0-1 | Partick | Championship |
| 2024-08-31 | Partick | 3-0 | Queen's Park | Championship |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline 2026-11-06
- Inverness CT v Livingston — match page 2026-11-07
- Morton vs Stenhousemuir — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Arbroath v Ayr Utd — match page 2026-11-07
Before and after this match
- Queen's Park, previous: Ayr Utd v Queen's Park analysis
- Partick, previous: Partick – Morton, 2026-10-31