Partick vs Morton preview
In the Scotland Championship fixture between Partick and Morton, the 1X2 probabilities show Partick at 70%, draw at 22%, and Morton at 8%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a probability of 18%. Partick has been in good form, with 4 wins and 2 draws in their last 6 matches, while Morton has struggled, recording 1 win and 5 losses.
Partick's expected goals stand at 1.84, compared to Morton's 0.46, indicating a significant attacking advantage. However, the model suggests a 40% chance for Over 2.5 goals and only a 32% chance for both teams to score. If Morton improves their performance or Partick underperforms, the match could yield different results than predicted.
Partick vs Morton: model vs market
| Source | Partick | Draw | Morton |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 70% | 22% | 8% |
| Market | 77% | 15% | 8% |
| Published | 75% | 17% | 8% |
| Edge | -2% | +2% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.84 vs 0.46.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.24, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.0% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Partick vs Morton odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Partick, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Partick | 1.20 | 1.20 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 6.00 | 6.00 | +0.00 |
| Morton | 11.46 | 11.46 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Partick and Morton expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.30
- Attack rating (Partick / Morton)
- 1.12 / 0.85
- Defence rating (Partick / Morton)
- 0.52 / 1.28
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Partick vs Morton score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Partick goals. Columns: Morton goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Partick vs Morton goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 32%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Partick vs Morton
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Partick | 75% | 1.33 |
| Draw | 17% | 5.87 | |
| Morton | 8% | 12.61 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40% | 2.47 |
| Under 2.5 | 60% | 1.68 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32% | 3.13 |
| No | 68% | 1.47 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Partick or draw) | 92% | 1.09 |
| 12 (either side) | 83% | 1.21 | |
| X2 (draw or Morton) | 25% | 4.00 | |
| Handicap -1 | Partick win by 2+ | 44% | 2.30 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Partick and Morton recent form
Partick
4W 2D 0L
Morton
2W 0D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Partick at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-0
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 6
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Morton away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Partick at home only, Morton away only.
Partick vs Morton head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Partick 3 · draws 2 · Morton 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Morton | 0-1 | Partick | Scotland Championship |
| 2026-03-13 | Morton | 1-2 | Partick | Scotland Championship |
| 2026-01-03 | Partick | 3-2 | Morton | Scotland Championship |
| 2025-10-11 | Morton | 1-1 | Partick | Scotland Championship |
| 2025-08-09 | Partick | 1-1 | Morton | Scotland Championship |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Stenhousemuir vs Livingston 2026-10-30
- Ayr Utd vs Queen's Park 2026-10-31
- Dunfermline v Inverness CT — match page 2026-10-31
- Arbroath vs Raith Rovers — team news & stats 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Partick, previous: Partick – Stenhousemuir, 2026-10-24
- Morton, previous: Morton v Ayr Utd analysis