Hibernian vs Celtic preview
In the upcoming match between Hibernian and Celtic, the 1X2 probabilities show Celtic at 55%, while Hibernian sits at 21%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, with a 10% chance. Hibernian's recent form is poor, with 6 matches resulting in 5 losses and 1 draw, which could impact their performance against a Celtic side that has won 3 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams to score is at 61%, and Over 2.5 goals is also at 61%, indicating a potential for a high-scoring game. Hibernian's expected goals are 1.21, while Celtic's are 1.93. If Hibernian can improve their form, they might challenge Celtic more than expected.
Hibernian vs Celtic: model vs market
| Source | Hibernian | Draw | Celtic |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23% | 24% | 53% |
| Market | 21% | 23% | 56% |
| Published | 21% | 23% | 55% |
| Edge | +2% | +1% | -3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.21.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.72, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update.
Hibernian vs Celtic odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Celtic, 18 snapshots since 2026-10-11.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hibernian | 4.42 | 4.50 | +0.08 |
| Draw | 4.03 | 4.05 | +0.02 |
| Celtic | 1.66 | 1.67 | +0.01 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Hibernian and Celtic expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.14
- Attack rating (Hibernian / Celtic)
- 0.78 / 1.55
- Defence rating (Hibernian / Celtic)
- 1.03 / 1.01
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Hibernian vs Celtic score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Hibernian goals. Columns: Celtic goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Hibernian vs Celtic goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 61%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Hibernian vs Celtic
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hibernian | 21% | 4.70 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.28 | |
| Celtic | 55% | 1.81 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61% | 1.65 |
| Under 2.5 | 39% | 2.54 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61% | 1.64 |
| No | 39% | 2.56 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Hibernian or draw) | 45% | 2.24 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or Celtic) | 79% | 1.27 | |
| Handicap -1 | Celtic win by 2+ | 31% | 3.19 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Hibernian and Celtic recent form
Hibernian
0W 1D 5L
Celtic
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Hibernian at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Celtic away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 7 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game on the road against 1.5 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Hibernian at home only, Celtic away only.
Hibernian vs Celtic head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Hibernian 1 · draws 1 · Celtic 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Hibernian | 1-2 | Celtic | Scotland Premiership |
| 2026-02-22 | Celtic | 1-2 | Hibernian | Scotland Premiership |
| 2025-11-30 | Hibernian | 1-2 | Celtic | Scotland Premiership |
| 2025-09-27 | Celtic | 0-0 | Hibernian | Scotland Premiership |
| 2025-03-09 | Celtic | 2-0 | Hibernian | Scotland FA Cup |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- ST Mirren vs Dundee — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Rangers v ST Johnstone — match page 2026-10-24
- Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Falkirk vs Kilmarnock 2026-10-24
- Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Hibernian, previous: Hibernian vs Falkirk: odds and pick
- Celtic, previous: Celtic v Celta Vigo analysis
- Celtic, next: Celtic vs Beşiktaş: odds and pick