Rangers vs ST Johnstone preview
In the upcoming match between Rangers and ST Johnstone, the 1X2 probabilities show Rangers at 65%, while ST Johnstone sits at 13%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, with a 15% chance. Rangers have been in strong form, winning their last 6 matches, while ST Johnstone has a mixed record with 2 wins in their last 6 games.
While Rangers are favoured to win, factors like ST Johnstone's ability to score could challenge the prediction. The model suggests a 33% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance for both teams to score. Rangers have expected goals of 1.19, compared to ST Johnstone's 0.82, indicating a potential for a low-scoring game.
Rangers vs ST Johnstone: model vs market
| Source | Rangers | Draw | ST Johnstone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43% | 32% | 25% |
| Market | 76% | 15% | 8% |
| Published | 68% | 20% | 13% |
| Edge | -33% | +16% | +16% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.24 vs 0.88.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.32, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
Rangers vs ST Johnstone odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Rangers, 18 snapshots since 2026-10-11.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers | 1.28 | 1.22 | -0.06 |
| Draw | 5.40 | 6.00 | +0.60 |
| ST Johnstone | 9.50 | 11.00 | +1.50 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Rangers and ST Johnstone expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.12
- Attack rating (Rangers / ST Johnstone)
- 1.07 / 1.00
- Defence rating (Rangers / ST Johnstone)
- 0.73 / 0.76
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Rangers vs ST Johnstone score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Rangers goals. Columns: ST Johnstone goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Rangers vs ST Johnstone goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 43%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Rangers vs ST Johnstone
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rangers | 68% | 1.47 |
| Draw | 20% | 5.12 | |
| ST Johnstone | 13% | 7.98 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36% | 2.81 |
| Under 2.5 | 64% | 1.55 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43% | 2.33 |
| No | 57% | 1.75 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Rangers or draw) | 87% | 1.14 |
| 12 (either side) | 80% | 1.24 | |
| X2 (draw or ST Johnstone) | 32% | 3.12 | |
| Handicap -1 | Rangers win by 2+ | 20% | 4.98 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Rangers and ST Johnstone recent form
Rangers
5W 1D 0L
ST Johnstone
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Rangers at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
ST Johnstone away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Rangers at home only, ST Johnstone away only.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- ST Mirren vs Dundee — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Falkirk vs Kilmarnock 2026-10-24
- Hibernian v Celtic — match page 2026-10-25
- Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Rangers, previous: Dundee v Rangers analysis
- ST Johnstone, previous: ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd: odds and pick