Bravo vs Koper preview
In the fixture between Bravo and Koper, the 1X2 probabilities show Koper at 43%, Bravo at 28%, and a draw at 30%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, with a probability of 11%. Koper's recent form is stronger, with 4 wins in their last 6 matches compared to Bravo's 3 wins.
The expected goals are 1.04 for Bravo and 1.35 for Koper, indicating Koper may have the edge in scoring. The probabilities for Over 2.5 goals stand at 43%, while both teams to score is at 49%. These figures suggest a close match, but if Bravo improves their scoring, the outcome could shift.
Bravo vs Koper: model vs market
| Source | Bravo | Draw | Koper |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28% | 30% | 43% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 28% | 30% | 43% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.35 vs 1.04.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Bravo and Koper expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.39
- Attack rating (Bravo / Koper)
- 0.88 / 1.17
- Defence rating (Bravo / Koper)
- 0.85 / 0.74
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Bravo vs Koper score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Bravo goals. Columns: Koper goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Bravo vs Koper goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 49%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Bravo vs Koper
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bravo | 28% | 3.64 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.35 | |
| Koper | 43% | 2.34 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43% | 2.33 |
| Under 2.5 | 57% | 1.75 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49% | 2.03 |
| No | 51% | 1.97 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Bravo or draw) | 57% | 1.74 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.43 | |
| X2 (draw or Koper) | 72% | 1.38 | |
| Handicap -1 | Koper win by 2+ | 21% | 4.86 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Bravo and Koper recent form
Bravo
3W 2D 1L
Koper
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Bravo at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Koper away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-1
- Win rate
- 57%
- Goals for / match
- 1.29
- Goals against / match
- 0.86
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 7
- They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Bravo at home only, Koper away only.
Bravo vs Koper head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Bravo 1 · draws 2 · Koper 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Koper | 0-0 | Bravo | 1. SNL |
| 2026-04-04 | Bravo | 1-1 | Koper | 1. SNL |
| 2026-01-31 | Koper | 6-2 | Bravo | 1. SNL |
| 2025-09-28 | Bravo | 4-2 | Koper | 1. SNL |
| 2025-07-20 | Koper | 2-1 | Bravo | 1. SNL |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Maribor v Olimpija Ljubljana — match page 2026-10-31
- Aluminij vs Radomlje 2026-10-31
- Mura vs Brinje-Grosuplje — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Celje vs Nafta — team news & stats 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Bravo, previous: Brinje-Grosuplje – Bravo, 2026-10-29
- Koper, previous: Koper v Maribor analysis