Koper vs Mura preview
Koper faces Mura with a 75% probability of winning, compared to Mura's 8%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which aligns with Koper's expected goals of 2.46 against Mura's 0.73. Koper's recent form shows 4 wins in their last 6 matches, while Mura has drawn 4 times and lost twice in their last 6 games.
However, the prediction could change if Mura manages to score, as both teams to score stands at 48%. Koper's strong performance in their recent matches may not guarantee a clean sheet. Additionally, the confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the forecast. The potential for Over 2.5 goals is at 62%, suggesting there could be more scoring opportunities.
Koper vs Mura: model vs market
| Source | Koper | Draw | Mura |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 73% | 19% | 9% |
| Market | 59% | 23% | 18% |
| Published | 63% | 22% | 16% |
| Edge | +3% | -1% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.25 vs 0.67.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Koper below our published probability: +3.3 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.60, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +0.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Koper vs Mura odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Koper, 8 snapshots since 2026-11-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Koper | 1.57 | 1.53 | -0.04 |
| Draw | 3.86 | 4.00 | +0.14 |
| Mura | 5.10 | 5.10 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Koper and Mura expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.93
- Attack rating (Koper / Mura)
- 1.32 / 0.72
- Defence rating (Koper / Mura)
- 0.71 / 1.08
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Koper vs Mura score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Koper goals. Columns: Mura goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Koper vs Mura goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 45%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Koper vs Mura
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Koper | 63% | 1.59 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.60 | |
| Mura | 16% | 6.43 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56% | 1.79 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 2.27 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45% | 2.24 |
| No | 55% | 1.81 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Koper or draw) | 84% | 1.18 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| X2 (draw or Mura) | 37% | 2.68 | |
| Handicap -1 | Koper win by 2+ | 49% | 2.02 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Koper and Mura recent form
Koper
4W 1D 1L
Mura
0W 5D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Koper at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.33
- Goals against / match
- 0.83
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 6
- They have won 8 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Mura away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-4-2
- Win rate
- 14%
- Goals for / match
- 1.57
- Goals against / match
- 2.14
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 7
- They have won 2 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game on the road against 0.4 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 14 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Koper at home only, Mura away only.
Koper vs Mura head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Koper 8 · draws 1 · Mura 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Mura | 0-1 | Koper | 1. SNL |
| 2026-05-03 | Mura | 0-1 | Koper | 1. SNL |
| 2026-03-01 | Koper | 3-0 | Mura | 1. SNL |
| 2025-11-07 | Mura | 3-2 | Koper | 1. SNL |
| 2025-08-23 | Koper | 2-1 | Mura | 1. SNL |
| 2025-05-25 | Mura | 1-3 | Koper | 1. SNL |
| 2025-03-29 | Koper | 1-0 | Mura | 1. SNL |
| 2025-02-26 | Mura | 0-1 | Koper | Cup |
| 2024-12-08 | Mura | 1-3 | Koper | 1. SNL |
| 2024-09-22 | Koper | 0-0 | Mura | 1. SNL |
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
- Nafta vs Olimpija Ljubljana — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Bravo vs Maribor 2026-11-07
- Brinje-Grosuplje v Aluminij — match page 2026-11-08
- Radomlje vs Celje 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Koper, previous: Bravo – Koper, 2026-11-02
- Mura, previous: Mura vs Brinje-Grosuplje: odds and pick