Bravo vs Radomlje preview
In the upcoming match between Bravo and Radomlje, the 1X2 probabilities show Bravo at 58%, Radomlje at 18%, and a draw at 23%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which occurs with a 10% probability. Bravo's expected goals stand at 1.99, while Radomlje has a lower figure of 1.05.
Bravo has shown stronger recent form with a record of W-W-D-W-L-D, compared to Radomlje's D-L-L-L-D-L. While the model suggests a high chance for Over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 57%, these outcomes could be affected by Radomlje's poor recent performances and Bravo's inconsistency.
Bravo vs Radomlje: model vs market
| Source | Bravo | Draw | Radomlje |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54% | 26% | 21% |
| Market | 49% | 26% | 25% |
| Published | 50% | 26% | 24% |
| Edge | +5% | 0% | -4% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 1.03.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Bravo below the model: +4.5 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.90, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update.
Bravo vs Radomlje odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Bravo, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bravo | 1.86 | 1.86 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.50 | 3.50 | +0.00 |
| Radomlje | 3.69 | 3.69 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Bravo and Radomlje expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.79
- Attack rating (Bravo / Radomlje)
- 0.84 / 0.95
- Defence rating (Bravo / Radomlje)
- 0.78 / 1.33
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Bravo vs Radomlje score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Bravo goals. Columns: Radomlje goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Bravo vs Radomlje goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 54%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Bravo vs Radomlje
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bravo | 50% | 1.99 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.84 | |
| Radomlje | 24% | 4.20 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53% | 1.89 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 2.12 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54% | 1.84 |
| No | 46% | 2.19 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Bravo or draw) | 76% | 1.31 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Radomlje) | 50% | 2.01 | |
| Handicap -1 | Bravo win by 2+ | 31% | 3.27 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Bravo and Radomlje recent form
Bravo
3W 1D 2L
Radomlje
0W 2D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Bravo at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-1
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Radomlje away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Bravo at home only, Radomlje away only.
Bravo vs Radomlje head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Bravo 5 · draws 3 · Radomlje 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Radomlje | 1-2 | Bravo | 1. SNL |
| 2026-05-09 | Bravo | 2-1 | Radomlje | 1. SNL |
| 2026-03-09 | Radomlje | 1-3 | Bravo | 1. SNL |
| 2025-11-24 | Bravo | 0-4 | Radomlje | 1. SNL |
| 2025-08-30 | Radomlje | 0-6 | Bravo | 1. SNL |
| 2025-05-10 | Bravo | 4-0 | Radomlje | 1. SNL |
| 2025-03-11 | Radomlje | 2-0 | Bravo | 1. SNL |
| 2024-12-04 | Bravo | 0-0 | Radomlje | 1. SNL |
| 2024-08-31 | Radomlje | 1-1 | Bravo | 1. SNL |
| 2024-04-27 | Bravo | 1-1 | Radomlje | 1. SNL |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Aluminij vs Olimpija Ljubljana — team news & stats 2026-10-16
- Mura v Nafta — match page 2026-10-17
- Koper v Brinje-Grosuplje — match page 2026-10-18
- Maribor vs Celje 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Bravo, previous: Nafta – Bravo, 2026-10-11
- Radomlje, previous: Radomlje v Koper analysis