Koper vs Brinje-Grosuplje preview
Koper faces Brinje-Grosuplje with a 58% probability of winning compared to 18% for Brinje-Grosuplje. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with Koper's expected goals of 1.66 against Brinje-Grosuplje's 1.10. Over 2.5 goals has a 52% chance, while both teams to score sits at 55%.
Koper's recent form shows 3 wins and 3 losses, while Brinje-Grosuplje has 2 wins and 4 losses in their last 6 matches. The confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty. If Koper's form dips or Brinje-Grosuplje finds a way to improve their scoring, the predictions could shift.
Koper vs Brinje-Grosuplje: model vs market
| Source | Koper | Draw | Brinje-Grosuplje |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49% | 27% | 24% |
| Market | 58% | 23% | 18% |
| Published | 56% | 24% | 20% |
| Edge | -9% | +3% | +6% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 1.10.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.62, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.
Koper vs Brinje-Grosuplje odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Koper, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Koper | 1.50 | 1.55 | +0.05 |
| Draw | 4.10 | 3.86 | -0.24 |
| Brinje-Grosuplje | 5.50 | 4.93 | -0.57 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Koper and Brinje-Grosuplje expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.76
- Attack rating (Koper / Brinje-Grosuplje)
- 0.89 / 0.96
- Defence rating (Koper / Brinje-Grosuplje)
- 0.84 / 1.18
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Koper vs Brinje-Grosuplje score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Koper goals. Columns: Brinje-Grosuplje goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Koper vs Brinje-Grosuplje goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Koper vs Brinje-Grosuplje
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Koper | 56% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.13 | |
| Brinje-Grosuplje | 20% | 5.06 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52% | 1.92 |
| Under 2.5 | 48% | 2.09 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.81 |
| No | 45% | 2.24 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Koper or draw) | 80% | 1.25 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Brinje-Grosuplje) | 44% | 2.27 | |
| Handicap -1 | Koper win by 2+ | 27% | 3.71 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Koper and Brinje-Grosuplje recent form
Koper
3W 1D 2L
Brinje-Grosuplje
2W 0D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Koper at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Brinje-Grosuplje away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.20
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
League matches this season before kick-off: Koper at home only, Brinje-Grosuplje away only.
Koper vs Brinje-Grosuplje head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Koper 0 · draws 1 · Brinje-Grosuplje 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Brinje-Grosuplje | 1-1 | Koper | 1. SNL |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Aluminij vs Olimpija Ljubljana — team news & stats 2026-10-16
- Bravo vs Radomlje 2026-10-17
- Mura v Nafta — match page 2026-10-17
- Maribor vs Celje 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Koper, previous: Radomlje v Koper analysis
- Brinje-Grosuplje, previous: Brinje-Grosuplje vs Maribor: odds and pick