Siwelele vs Polokwane City preview
In the Premier Soccer League fixture, Siwelele faces Polokwane City with 38% probability for a Siwelele win and 32% for Polokwane City. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 9% chance. Both teams to score stands at 53%, indicating a reasonably high likelihood of goals from both sides.
Siwelele's expected goals are 1.33, while Polokwane City's are 1.20. Recent form shows Siwelele with 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 6 matches, while Polokwane City has 2 draws and 4 losses in the same span. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting uncertainty in the outcome.
Siwelele vs Polokwane City: model vs market
| Source | Siwelele | Draw | Polokwane City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38% | 29% | 32% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 38% | 29% | 32% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Siwelele and Polokwane City expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.53
- Attack rating (Siwelele / Polokwane City)
- 1.07 / 0.83
- Defence rating (Siwelele / Polokwane City)
- 1.57 / 1.09
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Siwelele vs Polokwane City score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Siwelele goals. Columns: Polokwane City goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Siwelele vs Polokwane City goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Siwelele vs Polokwane City
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Siwelele | 38% | 2.61 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.42 | |
| Polokwane City | 32% | 3.08 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46% | 2.15 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 1.87 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.90 |
| No | 47% | 2.12 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Siwelele or draw) | 68% | 1.48 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Polokwane City) | 62% | 1.62 | |
| Handicap -1 | Siwelele win by 2+ | 18% | 5.56 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Siwelele and Polokwane City recent form
Siwelele
0W 2D 4L
Polokwane City
0W 4D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Siwelele at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Polokwane City away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Siwelele at home only, Polokwane City away only.
Siwelele vs Polokwane City head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Siwelele 0 · draws 1 · Polokwane City 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Polokwane City | 0-0 | Siwelele | Premier Soccer League |
| 2025-08-19 | Siwelele | 0-1 | Polokwane City | Premier Soccer League |
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