Updated

Allsvenskan · Matchday 28

AIK Stockholm vs BK Hacken

· Strawberry Arena, Solna

Alin prediction BK Hacken to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 0 – 2

11% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
AIK StockholmDrawBK Hacken
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.01 vs 0.89.
  • RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Best market odds
AIK Stockholm4.05 Draw4.07 BK Hacken1.80

Price as of

Expected return at 1.80: -0.3% per unit staked

18+ · T&Cs apply · best price across 9 bookmakers, each at its own last update; the highlighted price is our pick.

AIK Stockholm vs BK Hacken preview

In the match between AIK Stockholm and BK Hacken, the 1X2 probabilities show BK Hacken with a strong 61% chance to win compared to AIK Stockholm's 16%. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, which aligns with BK Hacken's expected goals of 2.06 versus AIK Stockholm's 0.98.

However, AIK Stockholm has managed 1 win in their last 4 meetings against BK Hacken, with 3 draws, indicating they can be competitive. While our model suggests a 59% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance for both teams to score, AIK's recent form of D-W-D-L-L-D could affect their performance.

AIK Stockholm vs BK Hacken: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceAIK StockholmDrawBK Hacken
Model15%23%63%
Market24%23%53%
Published22%23%55%
Edge-2%0%+2%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.01 vs 0.89.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices BK Hacken below our published probability: +2.4 percentage points of edge.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.80, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -0.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

AIK Stockholm vs BK Hacken odds movement

Median bookmaker price on BK Hacken, 4 snapshots since 2026-11-02.

Opened 1.91Now 1.75 -0.16
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
AIK Stockholm3.403.90+0.50
Draw3.904.00+0.10
BK Hacken1.911.75-0.16

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

AIK Stockholm and BK Hacken expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.89AIK Stockholm
2.01BK Hacken
Total expected goals
2.89
Attack rating (AIK Stockholm / BK Hacken)
1.25 / 1.13
Defence rating (AIK Stockholm / BK Hacken)
1.33 / 0.47

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

AIK Stockholm vs BK Hacken score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.5% 10.1% 11.2% 7.5% 6.0% 1 3.9% 10.8% 9.9% 6.6% 5.3% 2 2.2% 4.4% 4.4% 2.9% 2.3% 3 0.6% 1.3% 1.3% 0.9% 0.7% 4+ 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2%

Rows: AIK Stockholm goals. Columns: BK Hacken goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

AIK Stockholm vs BK Hacken goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 93%
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 55%
Over 3.5 33%
Both teams to score
52%
No goals (0–0)
7%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for AIK Stockholm vs BK Hacken

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2AIK Stockholm22%4.64
Draw23%4.34
BK Hacken55%1.81
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555%1.81
Under 2.545%2.24
Both teams to scoreYes52%1.93
No48%2.08
Double chance1X (AIK Stockholm or draw)45%2.24
12 (either side)77%1.30
X2 (draw or BK Hacken)78%1.27
Handicap -1BK Hacken win by 2+39%2.56
Push (exactly one goal)23%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Compare the market for this pick

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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AIK Stockholm and BK Hacken recent form

AIK Stockholm 1W 2D 3L
BK Hacken 5W 1D 0L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

AIK Stockholm at home

Record (W-D-L)
4-3-6
Win rate
31%
Goals for / match
1.62
Goals against / match
2.23
Clean sheets
2 of 13
  • They have won 10 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

BK Hacken away

Record (W-D-L)
6-5-2
Win rate
46%
Goals for / match
1.69
Goals against / match
0.92
Clean sheets
8 of 13
  • They have won 12 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: AIK Stockholm at home only, BK Hacken away only.

AIK Stockholm vs BK Hacken head-to-head

Last 4 meetings: AIK Stockholm 1 · draws 3 · BK Hacken 0.

AIK StockholmDrawsBK Hacken
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-07-27BK Hacken0-0AIK StockholmAllsvenskan
2026-03-09AIK Stockholm4-0BK HackenSvenska Cupen
2025-10-26AIK Stockholm2-2BK HackenAllsvenskan
2025-05-14BK Hacken3-3AIK StockholmAllsvenskan

Other Matchday 28 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot BK Hacken to win Predicted score 0 – 2 C Bet on BK Hacken
Our pick: BK Hacken to win 18+ Bet Now