Degerfors IF vs Gais preview
Degerfors IF faces Gais with a 23% chance of winning compared to Gais's 50%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring 12% of the time according to our model. Degerfors IF has struggled recently, recording 6 matches without a win, while Gais has shown some resilience with 2 wins in their last 6.
The expected goals stand at 0.85 for Degerfors IF and 1.69 for Gais, indicating a potential low-scoring match. With both teams to score at 48% and Over 2.5 goals at 47%, there is a possibility for a tighter contest than the numbers suggest. Factors like Degerfors IF's poor form could lead to unexpected outcomes.
Degerfors IF vs Gais: model vs market
| Source | Degerfors IF | Draw | Gais |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 18% | 26% | 56% |
| Market | 32% | 26% | 42% |
| Published | 29% | 26% | 45% |
| Edge | -4% | 0% | +4% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 0.89.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Gais below our published probability: +3.6 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.33, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +5.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Degerfors IF vs Gais odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Gais, 6 snapshots since 2026-11-01.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Degerfors IF | 3.70 | 2.88 | -0.82 |
| Draw | 3.45 | 3.60 | +0.15 |
| Gais | 1.95 | 2.25 | +0.30 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Degerfors IF and Gais expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.63
- Attack rating (Degerfors IF / Gais)
- 0.69 / 1.06
- Defence rating (Degerfors IF / Gais)
- 1.23 / 0.86
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Degerfors IF vs Gais score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Degerfors IF goals. Columns: Gais goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Degerfors IF vs Gais goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 50%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Degerfors IF vs Gais
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Degerfors IF | 29% | 3.46 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.85 | |
| Gais | 45% | 2.21 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49% | 2.05 |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | 1.95 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | 2.01 |
| No | 50% | 1.99 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Degerfors IF or draw) | 55% | 1.82 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Gais) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| Handicap -1 | Gais win by 2+ | 32% | 3.12 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Degerfors IF and Gais recent form
Degerfors IF
0W 1D 5L
Gais
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Degerfors IF at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-8
- Win rate
- 23%
- Goals for / match
- 0.92
- Goals against / match
- 1.54
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 13
- They have won 5 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 26 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gais away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-7
- Win rate
- 31%
- Goals for / match
- 1.15
- Goals against / match
- 1.54
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 13
- They have won 9 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 26 matches.
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Degerfors IF at home only, Gais away only.
Degerfors IF vs Gais head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Degerfors IF 0 · draws 1 · Gais 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Gais | 1-1 | Degerfors IF | Allsvenskan |
| 2025-07-19 | Degerfors IF | 0-3 | Gais | Allsvenskan |
| 2025-04-13 | Gais | 2-0 | Degerfors IF | Allsvenskan |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
- Hammarby FF v IF Elfsborg — match page 2026-11-06
- Orgryte IS v Vasteras SK FK — match page 2026-11-07
- IFK Goteborg vs Malmo FF — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Halmstad vs Djurgardens IF 2026-11-08
- IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby AIF 2026-11-08
- Kalmar FF v Sirius — match page 2026-11-08
- AIK Stockholm vs BK Hacken — team news & stats 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Degerfors IF, previous: Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF prediction
- Gais, previous: Gais – AIK Stockholm, 2026-11-02