Updated

Allsvenskan · Matchday 28

IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby AIF

· Grimsta IP, Stockholm

Alin prediction IF Brommapojkarna to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 1 – 0

13% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
IF BrommapojkarnaDrawMjallby AIF
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.39 vs 0.87.
  • RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Best market odds
IF Brommapojkarna2.72 Draw3.50 Mjallby AIF2.67

Price as of

Expected return at 2.72: +6.8% per unit staked

18+ · T&Cs apply · best price across 9 bookmakers, each at its own last update; the highlighted price is our pick.

IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby AIF preview

In the Allsvenskan fixture between IF Brommapojkarna and Mjallby AIF, the 1X2 probabilities show IF Brommapojkarna at 53%, with Mjallby AIF at 21%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, occurring 11% of the time according to our model. Both teams to score stands at 51%, indicating a close contest.

IF Brommapojkarna's expected goals are 1.67, while Mjallby AIF's are 0.97. Recent form reveals IF Brommapojkarna with two losses in their last three matches, while Mjallby AIF has two wins. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting that unexpected outcomes could arise, particularly given Mjallby AIF's strong head-to-head record of 3 wins in the last 3 encounters.

IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby AIF: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceIF BrommapojkarnaDrawMjallby AIF
Model48%30%22%
Market36%27%37%
Published39%28%33%
Edge+3%+1%-4%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.39 vs 0.87.
  • The market prices IF Brommapojkarna below our published probability: +2.9 percentage points of edge.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.72, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +6.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby AIF odds movement

Median bookmaker price on IF Brommapojkarna, 4 snapshots since 2026-11-02.

Opened 2.65Now 2.55 -0.10
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
IF Brommapojkarna2.652.55-0.10
Draw3.503.44-0.06
Mjallby AIF2.382.53+0.15

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

IF Brommapojkarna and Mjallby AIF expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.39IF Brommapojkarna
0.87Mjallby AIF
Total expected goals
2.26
Attack rating (IF Brommapojkarna / Mjallby AIF)
0.97 / 0.60
Defence rating (IF Brommapojkarna / Mjallby AIF)
1.08 / 0.94

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby AIF score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 11.7% 7.8% 3.9% 1.1% 0.3% 1 13.3% 13.9% 5.5% 1.6% 0.4% 2 10.1% 8.8% 3.8% 1.1% 0.3% 3 4.7% 4.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 4+ 2.2% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%

Rows: IF Brommapojkarna goals. Columns: Mjallby AIF goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby AIF goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 88%
Over 1.5 67%
Over 2.5 39%
Over 3.5 19%
Both teams to score
45%
No goals (0–0)
12%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby AIF

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2IF Brommapojkarna39%2.55
Draw28%3.61
Mjallby AIF33%3.03
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539%2.55
Under 2.561%1.65
Both teams to scoreYes45%2.23
No55%1.81
Double chance1X (IF Brommapojkarna or draw)67%1.49
12 (either side)72%1.38
X2 (draw or Mjallby AIF)61%1.65
Handicap -1IF Brommapojkarna win by 2+24%4.18
Push (exactly one goal)24%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Compare the market for this pick

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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IF Brommapojkarna and Mjallby AIF recent form

IF Brommapojkarna 2W 1D 3L
Mjallby AIF 2W 2D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

IF Brommapojkarna at home

Record (W-D-L)
4-4-5
Win rate
31%
Goals for / match
1.15
Goals against / match
1.15
Clean sheets
3 of 13
  • They have won 9 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 26 matches.

Mjallby AIF away

Record (W-D-L)
3-6-4
Win rate
23%
Goals for / match
1.38
Goals against / match
1.69
Clean sheets
1 of 13
  • They have won 6 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: IF Brommapojkarna at home only, Mjallby AIF away only.

IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby AIF head-to-head

Last 3 meetings: IF Brommapojkarna 0 · draws 0 · Mjallby AIF 3.

IF BrommapojkarnaDrawsMjallby AIF
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-04-18Mjallby AIF3-0IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
2025-09-28IF Brommapojkarna0-1Mjallby AIFAllsvenskan
2025-05-19Mjallby AIF1-0IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan

Other Matchday 28 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot IF Brommapojkarna to win Predicted score 1 – 0 C Bet on IF Brommapojkarna
Our pick: IF Brommapojkarna to win 18+ Bet Now