Halmstad vs Djurgardens IF preview
In the upcoming match between Halmstad and Djurgardens IF, the 1X2 probabilities show Djurgardens IF at 71%, while Halmstad sits at just 9%. The most likely scoreline according to our model is 0-2, with a 14% chance of occurring. Djurgardens IF's expected goals are 2.10, significantly higher than Halmstad's 0.63.
While Djurgardens IF is favored, factors like Halmstad's home advantage or a sudden change in form could lead to unexpected results. The model suggests a 51% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance for both teams to score, indicating potential for a more competitive match than the probabilities suggest.
Halmstad vs Djurgardens IF: model vs market
| Source | Halmstad | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 9% | 20% | 71% |
| Market | 13% | 19% | 68% |
| Published | 12% | 19% | 69% |
| Edge | -1% | 0% | +1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.10 vs 0.63.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.40, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Halmstad vs Djurgardens IF odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Djurgardens IF, 4 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Halmstad | 7.00 | 7.20 | +0.20 |
| Draw | 4.80 | 4.85 | +0.05 |
| Djurgardens IF | 1.39 | 1.37 | -0.02 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Halmstad and Djurgardens IF expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.73
- Attack rating (Halmstad / Djurgardens IF)
- 0.63 / 1.37
- Defence rating (Halmstad / Djurgardens IF)
- 1.15 / 0.67
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Halmstad vs Djurgardens IF score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Halmstad goals. Columns: Djurgardens IF goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Halmstad vs Djurgardens IF goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 42%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Halmstad vs Djurgardens IF
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Halmstad | 12% | 8.38 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.16 | |
| Djurgardens IF | 69% | 1.46 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51% | 1.94 |
| Under 2.5 | 49% | 2.06 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42% | 2.38 |
| No | 58% | 1.72 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Halmstad or draw) | 31% | 3.19 |
| 12 (either side) | 81% | 1.24 | |
| X2 (draw or Djurgardens IF) | 88% | 1.14 | |
| Handicap -1 | Djurgardens IF win by 2+ | 47% | 2.14 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Halmstad and Djurgardens IF recent form
Halmstad
2W 0D 4L
Djurgardens IF
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Halmstad at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-8
- Win rate
- 23%
- Goals for / match
- 0.69
- Goals against / match
- 1.69
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 13
- They have won 4 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 26 matches.
Djurgardens IF away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-2-2
- Win rate
- 69%
- Goals for / match
- 1.62
- Goals against / match
- 0.62
- Clean sheets
- 8 of 13
- They have won 15 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Halmstad at home only, Djurgardens IF away only.
Halmstad vs Djurgardens IF head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Halmstad 1 · draws 1 · Djurgardens IF 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Djurgardens IF | 3-0 | Halmstad | Allsvenskan |
| 2025-08-03 | Djurgardens IF | 1-1 | Halmstad | Allsvenskan |
| 2025-06-01 | Halmstad | 1-0 | Djurgardens IF | Allsvenskan |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
- Hammarby FF v IF Elfsborg — match page 2026-11-06
- Orgryte IS v Vasteras SK FK — match page 2026-11-07
- Degerfors IF vs Gais — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- IFK Goteborg vs Malmo FF — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby AIF 2026-11-08
- Kalmar FF v Sirius — match page 2026-11-08
- AIK Stockholm vs BK Hacken — team news & stats 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Halmstad, previous: Sirius v Halmstad analysis
- Djurgardens IF, previous: Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF prediction