FC WIL 1900 vs Rapperswil preview
FC WIL 1900 has a 45% chance to win against Rapperswil, who has a 31% probability of victory. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance. The model also suggests a strong likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 73% and both teams to score at 72%.
Recent form shows FC WIL 1900 with 2 draws and 1 win in their last 5 matches, while Rapperswil has 2 wins and 3 losses. In their last 5 encounters, Rapperswil has the upper hand with 3 wins compared to FC WIL 1900's 2. The expected goals indicate FC WIL 1900 at 2.18 and Rapperswil at 1.64, which could influence the match outcome.
FC WIL 1900 vs Rapperswil: model vs market
| Source | FC WIL 1900 | Draw | Rapperswil |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50% | 23% | 27% |
| Market | 43% | 24% | 33% |
| Published | 45% | 24% | 31% |
| Edge | +2% | 0% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.10 vs 1.51.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.18, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.1% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
FC WIL 1900 vs Rapperswil odds movement
Median bookmaker price on FC WIL 1900, 12 snapshots since 2026-10-17.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC WIL 1900 | 2.10 | 2.12 | +0.02 |
| Draw | 3.74 | 3.77 | +0.03 |
| Rapperswil | 2.80 | 2.80 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
FC WIL 1900 and Rapperswil expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.61
- Attack rating (FC WIL 1900 / Rapperswil)
- 1.13 / 1.00
- Defence rating (FC WIL 1900 / Rapperswil)
- 1.09 / 1.13
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FC WIL 1900 vs Rapperswil score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FC WIL 1900 goals. Columns: Rapperswil goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FC WIL 1900 vs Rapperswil goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 69%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FC WIL 1900 vs Rapperswil
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC WIL 1900 | 45% | 2.23 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.19 | |
| Rapperswil | 31% | 3.20 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70% | 1.43 |
| Under 2.5 | 30% | 3.33 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69% | 1.44 |
| No | 31% | 3.26 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FC WIL 1900 or draw) | 69% | 1.45 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or Rapperswil) | 55% | 1.82 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC WIL 1900 win by 2+ | 30% | 3.29 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
FC WIL 1900 and Rapperswil recent form
FC WIL 1900
2W 3D 1L
Rapperswil
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FC WIL 1900 at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Rapperswil away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-3
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: FC WIL 1900 at home only, Rapperswil away only.
FC WIL 1900 vs Rapperswil head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: FC WIL 1900 3 · draws 2 · Rapperswil 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Rapperswil | 4-5 | FC WIL 1900 | Challenge League |
| 2026-04-11 | Rapperswil | 2-0 | FC WIL 1900 | Challenge League |
| 2026-02-13 | FC WIL 1900 | 0-2 | Rapperswil | Challenge League |
| 2025-11-07 | Rapperswil | 1-2 | FC WIL 1900 | Challenge League |
| 2025-08-26 | FC WIL 1900 | 1-3 | Rapperswil | Challenge League |
| 2023-07-14 | FC WIL 1900 | 0-0 | Rapperswil | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2023-01-10 | FC WIL 1900 | 0-1 | Rapperswil | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2019-04-28 | FC WIL 1900 | 1-1 | Rapperswil | Challenge League |
| 2019-03-02 | Rapperswil | 4-0 | FC WIL 1900 | Challenge League |
| 2018-11-25 | Rapperswil | 0-1 | FC WIL 1900 | Challenge League |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Stade Lausanne-Ouchy v Neuchatel Xamax FC — match page 2026-10-23
- FC Winterthur vs Stade Nyonnais 2026-10-23
- FC Aarau v Étoile Carouge — match page 2026-10-24
- Yverdon Sport vs SC Kriens — team news & stats 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- FC WIL 1900, previous: Bulle vs FC WIL 1900: odds and pick
- Rapperswil, previous: Rapperswil – FC ST. Gallen, 2026-10-16