Updated

Challenge League · Matchday 11

Yverdon Sport vs SC Kriens

· Stade Municipal, Yverdon-les-Bains

Alin prediction Yverdon Sport to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 1 – 0

11% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Yverdon SportDrawSC Kriens
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 0.96.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Yverdon Sport is the favourite, not a value bet.
Best market odds
Yverdon Sport1.53 Draw4.75 SC Kriens5.50

Price as of

Expected return at 1.53: -8.2% per unit staked

Yverdon Sport vs SC Kriens preview

Yverdon Sport faces SC Kriens with a 54% probability of winning compared to Kriens' 20%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which occurs 11% of the time in our model. Yverdon Sport has an expected goals figure of 1.73, while SC Kriens sits at 0.96.

Both teams to score stands at 52%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 50%. Yverdon Sport's recent form shows 4 wins in their last 6 matches, while SC Kriens has 3 draws in their last 6. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.

Yverdon Sport vs SC Kriens: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceYverdon SportDrawSC Kriens
Model54%26%20%
Market62%20%18%
Published60%22%18%
Edge-2%+1%0%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 0.96.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.53, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.2% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Yverdon Sport vs SC Kriens odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Yverdon Sport, 9 snapshots since 2026-10-19.

Opened 1.43Now 1.46 +0.03
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Yverdon Sport1.431.46+0.03
Draw4.504.47-0.03
SC Kriens5.405.00-0.40

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Yverdon Sport and SC Kriens expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.73Yverdon Sport
0.96SC Kriens
Total expected goals
2.69
Attack rating (Yverdon Sport / SC Kriens)
1.15 / 1.06
Defence rating (Yverdon Sport / SC Kriens)
0.65 / 0.90

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Yverdon Sport vs SC Kriens score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 7.9% 5.4% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3% 1 10.6% 12.4% 5.4% 1.7% 0.5% 2 10.2% 9.7% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 3 5.9% 5.6% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3% 4+ 3.7% 3.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.2%

Rows: Yverdon Sport goals. Columns: SC Kriens goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Yverdon Sport vs SC Kriens goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 92%
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 50%
Over 3.5 28%
Both teams to score
52%
No goals (0–0)
8%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Yverdon Sport vs SC Kriens

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Yverdon Sport60%1.67
Draw22%4.63
SC Kriens18%5.43
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550%1.99
Under 2.550%2.01
Both teams to scoreYes52%1.93
No48%2.08
Double chance1X (Yverdon Sport or draw)82%1.23
12 (either side)78%1.28
X2 (draw or SC Kriens)40%2.50
Handicap -1Yverdon Sport win by 2+31%3.24
Push (exactly one goal)23%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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Yverdon Sport and SC Kriens recent form

Yverdon Sport 4W 1D 1L
SC Kriens 2W 3D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Yverdon Sport at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-3-0
Win rate
40%
Goals for / match
1.60
Goals against / match
0.80
Clean sheets
1 of 5
  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.

SC Kriens away

Record (W-D-L)
1-2-1
Win rate
25%
Goals for / match
1.75
Goals against / match
1.50
Clean sheets
1 of 4
  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Yverdon Sport at home only, SC Kriens away only.

Yverdon Sport vs SC Kriens head-to-head

Last 1 meetings: Yverdon Sport 1 · draws 0 · SC Kriens 0.

Yverdon SportDrawsSC Kriens
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-08-07SC Kriens0-2Yverdon SportChallenge League

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Yverdon Sport to win Predicted score 1 – 0 C Bet on Yverdon Sport