Coastal Union vs Azam preview
Coastal Union hosts Azam in the Tanzania Premier League, with the market showing a 42% chance of an Azam win compared to 29% for Coastal Union and 29% for a draw. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, indicating a narrow victory for Azam. However, Coastal Union's recent form includes two wins, which could challenge Azam's dominance.
The model suggests a 45% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance for both teams to score. With expected goals of 1.10 for Coastal Union and 1.37 for Azam, the match could be tight, but Coastal Union's ability to find the net will be crucial. Azam's recent form includes four wins in their last six matches, which may influence the outcome.
Coastal Union vs Azam: model vs market
| Source | Coastal Union | Draw | Azam |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29% | 29% | 42% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 29% | 29% | 42% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Coastal Union and Azam expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.47
- Attack rating (Coastal Union / Azam)
- 1.04 / 1.34
- Defence rating (Coastal Union / Azam)
- 1.15 / 0.79
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Coastal Union vs Azam score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Coastal Union goals. Columns: Azam goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Coastal Union vs Azam goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 51%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Coastal Union vs Azam
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Coastal Union | 29% | 3.49 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 | |
| Azam | 42% | 2.39 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45% | 2.23 |
| Under 2.5 | 55% | 1.81 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51% | 1.96 |
| No | 49% | 2.04 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Coastal Union or draw) | 58% | 1.72 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.42 | |
| X2 (draw or Azam) | 71% | 1.40 | |
| Handicap -1 | Azam win by 2+ | 20% | 4.93 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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Coastal Union and Azam recent form
Coastal Union
2W 1D 3L
Azam
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Coastal Union at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
Azam away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-0
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Coastal Union at home only, Azam away only.
Coastal Union vs Azam head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Coastal Union 0 · draws 4 · Azam 6.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Coastal Union | 0-2 | Azam | Tanzania Premier League |
| 2026-01-17 | Azam | 3-0 | Coastal Union | Tanzania Premier League |
| 2025-02-19 | Coastal Union | 0-0 | Azam | Ligi kuu Bara |
| 2024-09-22 | Azam | 1-0 | Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| 2024-03-06 | Azam | 1-1 | Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| 2023-10-06 | Coastal Union | 0-1 | Azam | Ligi kuu Bara |
| 2023-06-06 | Coastal Union | 0-2 | Azam | Ligi kuu Bara |
| 2022-11-27 | Azam | 3-2 | Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| 2022-03-01 | Azam | 0-0 | Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| 2021-09-27 | Coastal Union | 1-1 | Azam | Ligi kuu Bara |
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