Fountain Gate vs JKT Tanzania preview
Fountain Gate hosts JKT Tanzania in a match where the model gives Fountain Gate a 38% chance to win, while JKT Tanzania has a 32% chance. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which suggests a low-scoring game. However, both teams to score stands at 50%, indicating a potential for goals from either side.
Fountain Gate's recent form shows 1 win in their last 6 matches, while JKT Tanzania has 2 wins in the same period. The expected goals are close, with Fountain Gate at 1.25 and JKT Tanzania at 1.14, which could lead to a competitive match. The confidence grade is C, meaning the model's probabilities are not very strong.
Fountain Gate vs JKT Tanzania: model vs market
| Source | Fountain Gate | Draw | JKT Tanzania |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38% | 30% | 32% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 38% | 30% | 32% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Fountain Gate and JKT Tanzania expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.39
- Attack rating (Fountain Gate / JKT Tanzania)
- 0.73 / 1.00
- Defence rating (Fountain Gate / JKT Tanzania)
- 1.27 / 1.29
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Fountain Gate vs JKT Tanzania score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Fountain Gate goals. Columns: JKT Tanzania goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Fountain Gate vs JKT Tanzania goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 50%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Fountain Gate vs JKT Tanzania
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fountain Gate | 38% | 2.66 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 | |
| JKT Tanzania | 32% | 3.12 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43% | 2.34 |
| Under 2.5 | 57% | 1.75 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | 2.01 |
| No | 50% | 1.99 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Fountain Gate or draw) | 68% | 1.47 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.43 | |
| X2 (draw or JKT Tanzania) | 62% | 1.60 | |
| Handicap -1 | Fountain Gate win by 2+ | 17% | 5.85 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Fountain Gate and JKT Tanzania recent form
Fountain Gate
1W 1D 4L
JKT Tanzania
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Fountain Gate at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 0.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
JKT Tanzania away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.33
- Goals against / match
- 2.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
League matches this season before kick-off: Fountain Gate at home only, JKT Tanzania away only.
Fountain Gate vs JKT Tanzania head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Fountain Gate 0 · draws 3 · JKT Tanzania 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-21 | JKT Tanzania | 2-2 | Fountain Gate | Tanzania Premier League |
| 2025-11-30 | Fountain Gate | 0-2 | JKT Tanzania | Tanzania Premier League |
| 2025-05-13 | JKT Tanzania | 3-1 | Fountain Gate | Ligi kuu Bara |
| 2024-11-29 | Fountain Gate | 0-1 | JKT Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
| 2024-05-13 | JKT Tanzania | 1-1 | Fountain Gate | Ligi kuu Bara |
| 2023-12-01 | Fountain Gate | 2-2 | JKT Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
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