Dodoma Jiji vs Singida Black Stars preview
In the Tanzania Premier League, Dodoma Jiji faces Singida Black Stars, with the model showing a 53% probability for a Singida win. The expected goals indicate that Singida Black Stars could score 1.83, while Dodoma Jiji is expected to net 1.10. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 10% chance.
The market suggests a 56% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 57% likelihood for both teams to score. However, Dodoma Jiji's recent form includes two losses and a draw, which could impact their performance. Additionally, Singida Black Stars has a strong head-to-head record, winning three of the last four encounters.
Dodoma Jiji vs Singida Black Stars: model vs market
| Source | Dodoma Jiji | Draw | Singida Black Stars |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22% | 25% | 53% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 22% | 25% | 53% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 1.10.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Dodoma Jiji and Singida Black Stars expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.93
- Attack rating (Dodoma Jiji / Singida Black Stars)
- 0.69 / 2.15
- Defence rating (Dodoma Jiji / Singida Black Stars)
- 0.95 / 1.20
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Dodoma Jiji vs Singida Black Stars score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Dodoma Jiji goals. Columns: Singida Black Stars goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Dodoma Jiji vs Singida Black Stars goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 57%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Dodoma Jiji vs Singida Black Stars
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dodoma Jiji | 22% | 4.63 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.00 | |
| Singida Black Stars | 53% | 1.87 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56% | 1.78 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 2.27 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57% | 1.75 |
| No | 43% | 2.33 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Dodoma Jiji or draw) | 47% | 2.15 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Singida Black Stars) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| Handicap -1 | Singida Black Stars win by 2+ | 31% | 3.23 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Dodoma Jiji and Singida Black Stars recent form
Dodoma Jiji
3W 1D 2L
Singida Black Stars
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Dodoma Jiji at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 0.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Singida Black Stars away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 2
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Dodoma Jiji at home only, Singida Black Stars away only.
Dodoma Jiji vs Singida Black Stars head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Dodoma Jiji 0 · draws 1 · Singida Black Stars 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | Singida Black Stars | 5-0 | Dodoma Jiji | Tanzania Premier League |
| 2026-01-16 | Dodoma Jiji | 1-1 | Singida Black Stars | Tanzania Premier League |
| 2025-06-18 | Dodoma Jiji | 1-2 | Singida Black Stars | Ligi kuu Bara |
| 2024-12-12 | Singida Black Stars | 2-1 | Dodoma Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
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