Namungo vs Tabora United preview
Namungo hosts Tabora United in the Tanzania Premier League, with model 1X2 probabilities showing Namungo at 35%, a draw at 34%, and Tabora United at 32%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which has a 12% chance of occurring. Namungo's recent form includes four losses followed by two wins, while Tabora United has one win, two draws, and three losses in their last six matches.
The chances for Over 2.5 goals stand at 32%, while both teams to score is at 41%. Expected goals suggest Namungo will score 1.03 and Tabora United 0.98. The confidence grade is C, indicating that these probabilities are based solely on the model and may not reflect the full picture of the match.
Namungo vs Tabora United: model vs market
| Source | Namungo | Draw | Tabora United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35% | 34% | 32% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 35% | 34% | 32% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Namungo and Tabora United expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.00
- Attack rating (Namungo / Tabora United)
- 0.85 / 0.91
- Defence rating (Namungo / Tabora United)
- 1.20 / 0.90
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Namungo vs Tabora United score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Namungo goals. Columns: Tabora United goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Namungo vs Tabora United goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 41%
- No goals (0–0)
- 15%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Namungo vs Tabora United
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Namungo | 35% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.98 | |
| Tabora United | 32% | 3.13 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32% | 3.09 |
| Under 2.5 | 68% | 1.48 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41% | 2.42 |
| No | 59% | 1.70 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Namungo or draw) | 68% | 1.47 |
| 12 (either side) | 66% | 1.50 | |
| X2 (draw or Tabora United) | 65% | 1.53 | |
| Handicap -1 | Namungo win by 2+ | 14% | 7.24 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Namungo and Tabora United recent form
Namungo
2W 0D 4L
Tabora United
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Namungo at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
Tabora United away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Namungo at home only, Tabora United away only.
Namungo vs Tabora United head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Namungo 1 · draws 2 · Tabora United 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-16 | Namungo | 0-0 | Tabora United | Tanzania Premier League |
| 2026-03-11 | Tabora United | 2-0 | Namungo | Tanzania Premier League |
| 2025-02-05 | Tabora United | 2-1 | Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
| 2024-08-25 | Namungo | 1-2 | Tabora United | Ligi kuu Bara |
| 2024-05-28 | Namungo | 3-2 | Tabora United | Ligi kuu Bara |
| 2024-02-11 | Tabora United | 1-1 | Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
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