Updated

Tanzania Premier League · Matchday 9

Dodoma Jiji vs Young Africans

· Jamhuri Stadium

Alin prediction Young Africans to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 0 – 1

16% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Dodoma JijiDrawYoung Africans

Dodoma Jiji vs Young Africans preview

In the upcoming match between Dodoma Jiji and Young Africans, the 1X2 probabilities show Dodoma Jiji at 17%, a draw at 30%, and Young Africans at 53%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 0-1, which occurs 16% of the time.

Dodoma Jiji has an expected goals figure of 0.69, while Young Africans stands at 1.40. This disparity suggests that Young Africans may dominate the match. However, if Dodoma Jiji can capitalize on their recent form of 4 wins in the last 5 matches, they could challenge the expectations. The chances for Over 2.5 goals are at 35%, and both teams to score is at 39%, indicating a possibility for a more open game than the predicted scoreline suggests.

Dodoma Jiji vs Young Africans: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceDodoma JijiDrawYoung Africans
Model17%30%53%
Market———
Published17%30%53%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.40 vs 0.69.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Dodoma Jiji and Young Africans expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.69Dodoma Jiji
1.40Young Africans
Total expected goals
2.09
Attack rating (Dodoma Jiji / Young Africans)
0.88 / 1.81
Defence rating (Dodoma Jiji / Young Africans)
0.85 / 0.59

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Dodoma Jiji vs Young Africans score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 13.5% 16.1% 12.1% 5.7% 2.7% 1 7.3% 13.1% 8.4% 3.9% 1.9% 2 2.9% 4.1% 2.9% 1.4% 0.6% 3 0.7% 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 4+ 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Dodoma Jiji goals. Columns: Young Africans goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Dodoma Jiji vs Young Africans goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 86%
Over 1.5 63%
Over 2.5 35%
Over 3.5 16%
Both teams to score
39%
No goals (0–0)
14%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Dodoma Jiji vs Young Africans

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Dodoma Jiji17%5.82
Draw30%3.35
Young Africans53%1.89
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.535%2.87
Under 2.565%1.53
Both teams to scoreYes39%2.58
No61%1.63
Double chance1X (Dodoma Jiji or draw)47%2.12
12 (either side)70%1.43
X2 (draw or Young Africans)83%1.21
Handicap -1Young Africans win by 2+27%3.71
Push (exactly one goal)26%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Dodoma Jiji and Young Africans recent form

Dodoma Jiji 4W 1D 1L
Young Africans 4W 1D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Dodoma Jiji at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
0.75
Goals against / match
0.50
Clean sheets
2 of 4
  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Young Africans away

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Win rate
67%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
1 of 3
  • They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Dodoma Jiji at home only, Young Africans away only.

Dodoma Jiji vs Young Africans head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Dodoma Jiji 1 · draws 0 · Young Africans 1.

Dodoma JijiDrawsYoung Africans
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-05-13Dodoma Jiji3-2Young AfricansTanzania Premier League
2026-01-27Young Africans3-1Dodoma JijiTanzania Premier League

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Young Africans to win Predicted score 0 – 1 C Bet on Young Africans