Singida Black Stars vs Tabora United preview
In the Tanzania Premier League, Singida Black Stars face Tabora United with a 68% chance of winning according to our model. The expected goals for Singida Black Stars is 2.15, while Tabora United has an expected goals of 0.77. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which occurs 12% of the time in our forecasts.
While Singida Black Stars has the upper hand, several factors could impact the outcome. Tabora United has won both of their last two meetings, and recent form shows Singida Black Stars with mixed results at L-D-W-L-W-W, while Tabora United has struggled at L-W-D-L-D-L. Additionally, there's a 48% chance for both teams to score, which could change the dynamics of the match.
Singida Black Stars vs Tabora United: model vs market
| Source | Singida Black Stars | Draw | Tabora United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 68% | 21% | 11% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 68% | 21% | 11% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.15 vs 0.77.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Singida Black Stars and Tabora United expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.92
- Attack rating (Singida Black Stars / Tabora United)
- 1.78 / 0.77
- Defence rating (Singida Black Stars / Tabora United)
- 1.10 / 0.90
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Singida Black Stars vs Tabora United score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Singida Black Stars goals. Columns: Tabora United goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Singida Black Stars vs Tabora United goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 48%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Singida Black Stars vs Tabora United
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Singida Black Stars | 68% | 1.47 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.86 | |
| Tabora United | 11% | 8.89 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56% | 1.79 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 2.26 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48% | 2.07 |
| No | 52% | 1.94 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Singida Black Stars or draw) | 89% | 1.13 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.26 | |
| X2 (draw or Tabora United) | 32% | 3.14 | |
| Handicap -1 | Singida Black Stars win by 2+ | 45% | 2.23 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Singida Black Stars and Tabora United recent form
Singida Black Stars
3W 1D 2L
Tabora United
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Singida Black Stars at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 2.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Tabora United away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Singida Black Stars at home only, Tabora United away only.
Singida Black Stars vs Tabora United head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Singida Black Stars 0 · draws 0 · Tabora United 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Tabora United | 2-0 | Singida Black Stars | Tanzania Premier League |
| 2025-12-06 | Singida Black Stars | 1-3 | Tabora United | Tanzania Premier League |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Polisi Tanzania vs Pamba Jiji — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- Simba vs Mbeya City 2026-10-24
- Azam v Mashujaa — match page 2026-10-24
- Dodoma Jiji vs Young Africans — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- JKT Tanzania v Kagera Sugar — match page 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Singida Black Stars, previous: Tusker vs Singida Black Stars prediction
- Singida Black Stars, next: Singida Black Stars v Tusker analysis
- Tabora United, previous: Tabora United vs Young Africans prediction