Bodrum FK vs Keçiörengücü preview
Bodrum FK faces Keçiörengücü in a match where the probabilities show a close contest. Keçiörengücü has a slight edge with a 36% chance to win compared to Bodrum FK's 34%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 13% probability, indicating a low-scoring affair. Both teams to score has a 36% chance, while Over 2.5 goals sits at just 26%.
Bodrum FK's recent form includes three draws and two losses, while Keçiörengücü has two wins and four draws in their last six matches. The expected goals are also low, with Bodrum FK at 0.91 and Keçiörengücü at 0.86. A draw is possible given the 30% probability, which could impact the predicted outcomes.
Bodrum FK vs Keçiörengücü: model vs market
| Source | Bodrum FK | Draw | Keçiörengücü |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33% | 36% | 31% |
| Market | 35% | 28% | 37% |
| Published | 34% | 30% | 36% |
| Edge | -1% | +8% | -7% |
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.48, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
Bodrum FK vs Keçiörengücü odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Keçiörengücü, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bodrum FK | 2.62 | 2.62 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.30 | 3.24 | -0.06 |
| Keçiörengücü | 2.50 | 2.42 | -0.08 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Bodrum FK and Keçiörengücü expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.77
- Attack rating (Bodrum FK / Keçiörengücü)
- 0.73 / 1.20
- Defence rating (Bodrum FK / Keçiörengücü)
- 0.59 / 0.76
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Bodrum FK vs Keçiörengücü score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Bodrum FK goals. Columns: Keçiörengücü goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Bodrum FK vs Keçiörengücü goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 36%
- No goals (0–0)
- 18%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Bodrum FK vs Keçiörengücü
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bodrum FK | 34% | 2.92 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.34 | |
| Keçiörengücü | 36% | 2.79 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 26% | 3.81 |
| Under 2.5 | 74% | 1.36 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36% | 2.78 |
| No | 64% | 1.56 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Bodrum FK or draw) | 64% | 1.56 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.43 | |
| X2 (draw or Keçiörengücü) | 66% | 1.52 | |
| Handicap -1 | Keçiörengücü win by 2+ | 11% | 9.14 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Bodrum FK and Keçiörengücü recent form
Bodrum FK
1W 4D 1L
Keçiörengücü
2W 4D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Bodrum FK at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Keçiörengücü away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Bodrum FK at home only, Keçiörengücü away only.
Bodrum FK vs Keçiörengücü head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Bodrum FK 2 · draws 2 · Keçiörengücü 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Bodrum FK | 4-3 | Keçiörengücü | 1. Lig |
| 2025-09-20 | Keçiörengücü | 2-1 | Bodrum FK | 1. Lig |
| 2024-04-06 | Bodrum FK | 0-0 | Keçiörengücü | 1. Lig |
| 2023-11-11 | Keçiörengücü | 1-1 | Bodrum FK | 1. Lig |
| 2023-01-22 | Bodrum FK | 1-2 | Keçiörengücü | 1. Lig |
| 2022-08-21 | Keçiörengücü | 1-3 | Bodrum FK | 1. Lig |
| 2019-03-10 | Bodrum FK | 0-2 | Keçiörengücü | 2. Lig |
| 2018-10-21 | Keçiörengücü | 3-2 | Bodrum FK | 2. Lig |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Sivasspor vs Pendikspor — team news & stats 2026-10-09
- Ümraniyespor vs Sarıyer — team news & stats 2026-10-09
- Vanspor FK vs Bandırmaspor 2026-10-09
- Boluspor v Antalyaspor — match page 2026-10-10
- Iğdır FK v Batman Petrolspor — match page 2026-10-10
- Kayserispor v Manisa F.K. — match page 2026-10-10
- İstanbulspor vs Esenler Erokspor 2026-10-10
- Fatih Karagümrük vs Muğlaspor — team news & stats 2026-10-11