Sivasspor vs Pendikspor preview
Sivasspor hosts Pendikspor in the 1. Lig with a 40% chance of winning, compared to 32% for Pendikspor and a 29% likelihood of a draw. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with an 11% probability. Both teams to score stands at 50%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 44%.
Sivasspor's recent form shows 2 draws and 1 win in their last 5 matches, while Pendikspor has 2 draws and 2 wins in the same period. The expected goals are 1.37 for Sivasspor and 1.07 for Pendikspor. The confidence grade is C, indicating that the probabilities are blended with market odds, which could affect the outcome.
Sivasspor vs Pendikspor: model vs market
| Source | Sivasspor | Draw | Pendikspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42% | 30% | 28% |
| Market | 39% | 29% | 33% |
| Published | 40% | 29% | 32% |
| Edge | +4% | +1% | -5% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.37 vs 1.07.
- The market prices Sivasspor below the model: +3.9 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.47, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
Sivasspor vs Pendikspor odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Sivasspor, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor | 2.40 | 2.35 | -0.04 |
| Draw | 3.26 | 3.18 | -0.08 |
| Pendikspor | 2.75 | 2.76 | +0.01 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Sivasspor and Pendikspor expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.43
- Attack rating (Sivasspor / Pendikspor)
- 0.86 / 0.86
- Defence rating (Sivasspor / Pendikspor)
- 1.01 / 0.97
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Sivasspor vs Pendikspor score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Sivasspor goals. Columns: Pendikspor goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Sivasspor vs Pendikspor goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 50%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Sivasspor vs Pendikspor
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sivasspor | 40% | 2.53 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.47 | |
| Pendikspor | 32% | 3.16 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44% | 2.28 |
| Under 2.5 | 56% | 1.78 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | 1.99 |
| No | 50% | 2.01 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Sivasspor or draw) | 68% | 1.46 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Pendikspor) | 60% | 1.65 | |
| Handicap -1 | Sivasspor win by 2+ | 21% | 4.86 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Sivasspor and Pendikspor recent form
Sivasspor
1W 4D 1L
Pendikspor
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Sivasspor at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-4-0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
Pendikspor away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 2.25
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Sivasspor at home only, Pendikspor away only.
Sivasspor vs Pendikspor head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Sivasspor 2 · draws 1 · Pendikspor 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-01 | Sivasspor | 0-0 | Pendikspor | 1. Lig |
| 2025-08-31 | Pendikspor | 2-1 | Sivasspor | 1. Lig |
| 2024-02-25 | Sivasspor | 4-1 | Pendikspor | Süper Lig |
| 2023-10-07 | Pendikspor | 2-3 | Sivasspor | Süper Lig |
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