1. Lig · Matchday 9

İstanbulspor vs Esenler Erokspor

Alin prediction Esenler Erokspor to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 0 – 1

6% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
İstanbulsporDrawEsenler Erokspor
Best market odds
İstanbulspor3.68 Draw3.67 Esenler Erokspor2.07
Bet on Esenler Erokspor

İstanbulspor vs Esenler Erokspor: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceİstanbulsporDrawEsenler Erokspor
Model52%28%21%
Market27%27%47%
Published33%27%40%
Edge+25%+1%-26%

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.07, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.

İstanbulspor vs Esenler Erokspor odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Esenler Erokspor, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-04.

Opened 1.96Now 1.93 -0.03
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
İstanbulspor3.323.40+0.08
Draw3.583.40-0.18
Esenler Erokspor1.961.93-0.03

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

İstanbulspor and Esenler Erokspor expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.58İstanbulspor
0.92Esenler Erokspor
Total expected goals
2.50
Attack rating (İstanbulspor / Esenler Erokspor)
1.03 / 0.59
Defence rating (İstanbulspor / Esenler Erokspor)
1.28 / 0.93

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

İstanbulspor vs Esenler Erokspor score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 9.4% 6.4% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 1 11.8% 13.1% 5.5% 1.7% 0.5% 2 10.2% 9.4% 4.3% 1.3% 0.4% 3 5.4% 4.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 4+ 3.0% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%

Rows: İstanbulspor goals. Columns: Esenler Erokspor goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

İstanbulspor vs Esenler Erokspor goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 91%
Over 1.5 72%
Over 2.5 46%
Over 3.5 24%
Both teams to score
49%
No goals (0–0)
9%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for İstanbulspor vs Esenler Erokspor

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2İstanbulspor33%3.05
Draw27%3.72
Esenler Erokspor40%2.48
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546%2.20
Under 2.554%1.84
Both teams to scoreYes49%2.05
No51%1.96
Double chance1X (İstanbulspor or draw)60%1.68
12 (either side)73%1.37
X2 (draw or Esenler Erokspor)67%1.49
Handicap -1Esenler Erokspor win by 2+7%13.47
Push (exactly one goal)13%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites
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İstanbulspor and Esenler Erokspor recent form

İstanbulspor 1W 1D 4L
Esenler Erokspor 0W 3D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

İstanbulspor at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-2-1
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
1.33
Goals against / match
1.67
Clean sheets
0 of 3
  • They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

Esenler Erokspor away

Record (W-D-L)
0-4-0
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.75
Goals against / match
0.75
Clean sheets
2 of 4
  • They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
  • 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: İstanbulspor at home only, Esenler Erokspor away only.

İstanbulspor vs Esenler Erokspor head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: İstanbulspor 0 · draws 0 · Esenler Erokspor 2.

İstanbulsporDrawsEsenler Erokspor
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-02-17İstanbulspor1-4Esenler Erokspor1. Lig
2025-09-24Esenler Erokspor5-0İstanbulspor1. Lig

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Prediction snapshot Esenler Erokspor to win Predicted score 0 – 1 C Bet on Esenler Erokspor