Iğdır FK vs Batman Petrolspor preview
Iğdır FK hosts Batman Petrolspor with a 48% chance of winning according to the model, while both teams have a 26% chance of a draw or a win for Batman Petrolspor. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 10% probability. The market indicates a high likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams to score at 63%, suggesting an attacking game.
Iğdır FK's recent form shows four wins and one loss, while Batman Petrolspor has won four out of their last six matches. However, the confidence grade is C, meaning there is some uncertainty in the predictions. If either team fails to perform as expected, the outcome could differ from the model's projections.
Iğdır FK vs Batman Petrolspor: model vs market
| Source | Iğdır FK | Draw | Batman Petrolspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57% | 22% | 21% |
| Market | 45% | 27% | 28% |
| Published | 48% | 26% | 26% |
| Edge | +12% | -5% | -8% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.13 vs 1.23.
- The market prices Iğdır FK below the model: +12.5 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.12, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
Iğdır FK vs Batman Petrolspor odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Iğdır FK, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-04.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iğdır FK | 2.09 | 2.03 | -0.06 |
| Draw | 3.45 | 3.35 | -0.10 |
| Batman Petrolspor | 3.10 | 3.18 | +0.08 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Iğdır FK and Batman Petrolspor expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.36
- Attack rating (Iğdır FK / Batman Petrolspor)
- 1.12 / 1.16
- Defence rating (Iğdır FK / Batman Petrolspor)
- 0.87 / 1.16
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Iğdır FK vs Batman Petrolspor score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Iğdır FK goals. Columns: Batman Petrolspor goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Iğdır FK vs Batman Petrolspor goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 63%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Iğdır FK vs Batman Petrolspor
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Iğdır FK | 48% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.87 | |
| Batman Petrolspor | 26% | 3.78 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65% | 1.53 |
| Under 2.5 | 35% | 2.87 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63% | 1.58 |
| No | 37% | 2.72 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Iğdır FK or draw) | 74% | 1.36 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Batman Petrolspor) | 52% | 1.91 | |
| Handicap -1 | Iğdır FK win by 2+ | 36% | 2.81 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Iğdır FK and Batman Petrolspor recent form
Iğdır FK
4W 1D 1L
Batman Petrolspor
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Iğdır FK at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Batman Petrolspor away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Iğdır FK at home only, Batman Petrolspor away only.
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