Boluspor vs Antalyaspor preview
In the upcoming match between Boluspor and Antalyaspor, the key number is Antalyaspor's 57% probability of winning in the 1X2 market. This suggests a strong likelihood of an away victory, especially considering Boluspor's recent form of five losses in their last six matches. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which aligns with the expected goals of Boluspor at 1.13 and Antalyaspor at 1.91.
However, the match could deviate from this expectation if Boluspor manages to capitalize on their home advantage or if Antalyaspor fails to maintain their recent winning momentum. Both teams to score stands at 59%, indicating potential for goals from both sides, while Over 2.5 goals is also at 59%, suggesting a higher-scoring game could be possible.
Boluspor vs Antalyaspor: model vs market
| Source | Boluspor | Draw | Antalyaspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21% | 24% | 55% |
| Market | 19% | 24% | 57% |
| Published | 19% | 24% | 57% |
| Edge | +2% | +1% | -3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 1.13.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.65, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
Boluspor vs Antalyaspor odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Antalyaspor, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-04.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boluspor | 4.82 | 4.80 | -0.02 |
| Draw | 4.00 | 3.80 | -0.20 |
| Antalyaspor | 1.62 | 1.57 | -0.05 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Boluspor and Antalyaspor expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.04
- Attack rating (Boluspor / Antalyaspor)
- 0.67 / 1.07
- Defence rating (Boluspor / Antalyaspor)
- 1.45 / 1.03
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Boluspor vs Antalyaspor score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Boluspor goals. Columns: Antalyaspor goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Boluspor vs Antalyaspor goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 59%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Boluspor vs Antalyaspor
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Boluspor | 19% | 5.16 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.19 | |
| Antalyaspor | 57% | 1.76 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59% | 1.71 |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 2.41 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59% | 1.71 |
| No | 41% | 2.42 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Boluspor or draw) | 43% | 2.31 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or Antalyaspor) | 81% | 1.24 | |
| Handicap -1 | Antalyaspor win by 2+ | 32% | 3.09 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Boluspor and Antalyaspor recent form
Boluspor
0W 1D 5L
Antalyaspor
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Boluspor at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
- They average 0.5 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 7 matches.
Antalyaspor away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Boluspor at home only, Antalyaspor away only.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Sivasspor vs Pendikspor — team news & stats 2026-10-09
- Bodrum FK v Keçiörengücü — match page 2026-10-09
- Ümraniyespor vs Sarıyer — team news & stats 2026-10-09
- Vanspor FK vs Bandırmaspor 2026-10-09
- Iğdır FK v Batman Petrolspor — match page 2026-10-10
- Kayserispor v Manisa F.K. — match page 2026-10-10
- İstanbulspor vs Esenler Erokspor 2026-10-10
- Fatih Karagümrük vs Muğlaspor — team news & stats 2026-10-11