Kolos Kovalivka II vs Metal Kharkiv preview
In the match between Kolos Kovalivka II and Metal Kharkiv, the 1X2 probabilities show Kolos Kovalivka II and Metal Kharkiv both at 34%, with a draw at 32%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which occurs at 11%.
Kolos Kovalivka II's expected goals are 1.10, while Metal Kharkiv's are slightly higher at 1.11. The chance for Over 2.5 goals is 38%, and both teams to score stands at 46%. Recent form indicates Kolos Kovalivka II has two wins in their last five matches, while Metal Kharkiv has one win in the same span. This could affect the final outcome, as form trends can change quickly.
Kolos Kovalivka II vs Metal Kharkiv: model vs market
| Source | Kolos Kovalivka II | Draw | Metal Kharkiv |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34% | 32% | 34% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 34% | 32% | 34% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Kolos Kovalivka II and Metal Kharkiv expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.21
- Attack rating (Kolos Kovalivka II / Metal Kharkiv)
- 0.82 / 0.79
- Defence rating (Kolos Kovalivka II / Metal Kharkiv)
- 1.30 / 1.03
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Kolos Kovalivka II vs Metal Kharkiv score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Kolos Kovalivka II goals. Columns: Metal Kharkiv goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Kolos Kovalivka II vs Metal Kharkiv goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 46%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Kolos Kovalivka II vs Metal Kharkiv
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kolos Kovalivka II | 34% | 2.93 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.15 | |
| Metal Kharkiv | 34% | 2.92 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38% | 2.63 |
| Under 2.5 | 62% | 1.61 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46% | 2.17 |
| No | 54% | 1.86 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Kolos Kovalivka II or draw) | 66% | 1.52 |
| 12 (either side) | 68% | 1.46 | |
| X2 (draw or Metal Kharkiv) | 66% | 1.52 | |
| Handicap -1 | Metal Kharkiv win by 2+ | 14% | 6.98 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Kolos Kovalivka II and Metal Kharkiv recent form
Kolos Kovalivka II
2W 1D 3L
Metal Kharkiv
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Kolos Kovalivka II at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-3
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 7
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
Metal Kharkiv away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-4
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 0.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.17
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Kolos Kovalivka II at home only, Metal Kharkiv away only.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Prykarpattia 2026-10-30
- Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Inhulets 2026-10-31
- Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs SK Poltava — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Chernihiv v Yarud Mariupol' — match page 2026-11-01
- Kulykiv v UCSA — match page 2026-11-01
- Probiy Horodenka vs Nyva Ternopil — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Polissya II v Oleksandria — match page 2026-11-02
Before and after this match
- Kolos Kovalivka II, previous: Inhulets vs Kolos Kovalivka II prediction
- Metal Kharkiv, previous: Metal Kharkiv vs Yarud Mariupol' prediction