Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs SK Poltava preview
In the match between Viktoriya Mykolaivka and SK Poltava, the 1X2 probabilities show SK Poltava at 38% to win compared to Viktoriya Mykolaivka's 32%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.17 for Viktoriya Mykolaivka and 1.30 for SK Poltava.
Both teams to score stands at 51%, suggesting a reasonable chance for goals from both sides. However, the recent form indicates Viktoriya Mykolaivka has drawn three of their last five matches, which could impact their scoring ability. With a confidence grade of C, unpredictability remains a factor in this fixture.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs SK Poltava: model vs market
| Source | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | Draw | SK Poltava |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32% | 30% | 38% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 32% | 30% | 38% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Viktoriya Mykolaivka and SK Poltava expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.47
- Attack rating (Viktoriya Mykolaivka / SK Poltava)
- 1.01 / 1.44
- Defence rating (Viktoriya Mykolaivka / SK Poltava)
- 0.84 / 0.89
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs SK Poltava score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Viktoriya Mykolaivka goals. Columns: SK Poltava goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs SK Poltava goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 51%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs SK Poltava
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 32% | 3.14 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.37 | |
| SK Poltava | 38% | 2.60 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45% | 2.23 |
| Under 2.5 | 55% | 1.81 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51% | 1.94 |
| No | 49% | 2.06 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Viktoriya Mykolaivka or draw) | 62% | 1.62 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.42 | |
| X2 (draw or SK Poltava) | 68% | 1.47 | |
| Handicap -1 | SK Poltava win by 2+ | 18% | 5.58 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Viktoriya Mykolaivka and SK Poltava recent form
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
2W 3D 1L
SK Poltava
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Viktoriya Mykolaivka at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 7 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
SK Poltava away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-3
- Win rate
- 57%
- Goals for / match
- 1.86
- Goals against / match
- 1.14
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 7
- They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Viktoriya Mykolaivka at home only, SK Poltava away only.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Prykarpattia 2026-10-30
- Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Inhulets 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Viktoriya Mykolaivka, previous: Prykarpattia – Viktoriya Mykolaivka, 2026-10-24
- SK Poltava, previous: Polissya II v SK Poltava analysis