Kulykiv vs UCSA preview
Kulykiv faces UCSA with a 57% chance of winning, while both teams have a 71% probability of Over 2.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with Kulykiv expected to score 2.29 goals and UCSA 1.37.
Kulykiv's recent form shows L-D-W-L-W-L, while UCSA has W-D-L-L-D-L. This difference in form could impact the match outcome. If UCSA improves their scoring, they could challenge Kulykiv's advantage.
Kulykiv vs UCSA: model vs market
| Source | Kulykiv | Draw | UCSA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57% | 21% | 21% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 57% | 21% | 21% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.29 vs 1.37.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Kulykiv and UCSA expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.65
- Attack rating (Kulykiv / UCSA)
- 1.45 / 1.10
- Defence rating (Kulykiv / UCSA)
- 1.16 / 1.20
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Kulykiv vs UCSA score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Kulykiv goals. Columns: UCSA goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Kulykiv vs UCSA goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 68%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Kulykiv vs UCSA
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kulykiv | 57% | 1.74 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.69 | |
| UCSA | 21% | 4.69 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71% | 1.42 |
| Under 2.5 | 29% | 3.41 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68% | 1.48 |
| No | 32% | 3.10 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Kulykiv or draw) | 79% | 1.27 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.27 | |
| X2 (draw or UCSA) | 43% | 2.35 | |
| Handicap -1 | Kulykiv win by 2+ | 37% | 2.73 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Kulykiv and UCSA recent form
Kulykiv
2W 1D 3L
UCSA
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Kulykiv at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-1-1
- Win rate
- 71%
- Goals for / match
- 2.57
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
- They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
UCSA away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.83
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
- 48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Kulykiv at home only, UCSA away only.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Prykarpattia 2026-10-30
- Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Inhulets 2026-10-31
- Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs SK Poltava — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Chernihiv v Yarud Mariupol' — match page 2026-11-01
- Probiy Horodenka vs Nyva Ternopil — team news & stats 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Kulykiv, previous: Nyva Ternopil v Kulykiv analysis
- UCSA, previous: UCSA – Lokomotiv Kyiv, 2026-10-25