Polissya II vs Oleksandria preview
In the match between Polissya II and Oleksandria, the 1X2 probabilities show Oleksandria at 52%, while Polissya II stands at 23%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which reflects Oleksandria's stronger expected goals of 1.83 compared to Polissya II’s 1.14.
Both teams to score has a probability of 58%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 57%. However, Polissya II's recent form, with 5 losses in their last 6 matches, could impact their performance negatively. Oleksandria's mixed results, including 2 wins in their last 6, suggest they may not be as consistent as needed for a decisive victory.
Polissya II vs Oleksandria: model vs market
| Source | Polissya II | Draw | Oleksandria |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23% | 25% | 52% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 23% | 25% | 52% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 1.14.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Polissya II and Oleksandria expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.97
- Attack rating (Polissya II / Oleksandria)
- 1.13 / 1.07
- Defence rating (Polissya II / Oleksandria)
- 1.59 / 0.77
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Polissya II vs Oleksandria score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Polissya II goals. Columns: Oleksandria goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Polissya II vs Oleksandria goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 58%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Polissya II vs Oleksandria
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Polissya II | 23% | 4.44 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.00 | |
| Oleksandria | 52% | 1.91 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 | 43% | 2.33 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | 1.72 |
| No | 42% | 2.39 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Polissya II or draw) | 48% | 2.10 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Oleksandria) | 77% | 1.29 | |
| Handicap -1 | Oleksandria win by 2+ | 30% | 3.30 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Polissya II and Oleksandria recent form
Polissya II
0W 2D 4L
Oleksandria
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Polissya II at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-5
- Win rate
- 14%
- Goals for / match
- 1.29
- Goals against / match
- 2.29
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 7
- They have won 1 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
Oleksandria away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Polissya II at home only, Oleksandria away only.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Prykarpattia 2026-10-30
- Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Inhulets 2026-10-31
- Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs SK Poltava — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Chernihiv v Yarud Mariupol' — match page 2026-11-01
- Kulykiv v UCSA — match page 2026-11-01
- Probiy Horodenka vs Nyva Ternopil — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Kolos Kovalivka II vs Metal Kharkiv 2026-11-02
Before and after this match
- Polissya II, previous: Polissya II v SK Poltava analysis
- Oleksandria, previous: Oleksandria vs Probiy Horodenka: odds and pick