Probiy Horodenka vs Nyva Ternopil preview
In the upcoming match between Probiy Horodenka and Nyva Ternopil, the 1X2 probabilities indicate a strong likelihood for Nyva Ternopil at 59%, compared to Probiy Horodenka's 16%. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, with a probability of 11%. Probiy Horodenka has struggled recently, recording 2 wins in their last 6 matches, while Nyva Ternopil has shown better form with 4 wins in their last 6.
While our model suggests a 50% chance for Over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, these outcomes could be affected by Probiy Horodenka's low expected goals of 0.86. If they manage to improve their attacking performance, it could challenge the predictions.
Probiy Horodenka vs Nyva Ternopil: model vs market
| Source | Probiy Horodenka | Draw | Nyva Ternopil |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16% | 25% | 59% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 16% | 25% | 59% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 0.86.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Probiy Horodenka and Nyva Ternopil expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.69
- Attack rating (Probiy Horodenka / Nyva Ternopil)
- 0.84 / 1.02
- Defence rating (Probiy Horodenka / Nyva Ternopil)
- 1.67 / 0.78
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Probiy Horodenka vs Nyva Ternopil score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Probiy Horodenka goals. Columns: Nyva Ternopil goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Probiy Horodenka vs Nyva Ternopil goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 49%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Probiy Horodenka vs Nyva Ternopil
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Probiy Horodenka | 16% | 6.23 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.07 | |
| Nyva Ternopil | 59% | 1.68 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50% | 1.98 |
| Under 2.5 | 50% | 2.02 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49% | 2.02 |
| No | 51% | 1.98 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Probiy Horodenka or draw) | 41% | 2.46 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Nyva Ternopil) | 84% | 1.19 | |
| Handicap -1 | Nyva Ternopil win by 2+ | 35% | 2.83 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Probiy Horodenka and Nyva Ternopil recent form
Probiy Horodenka
2W 1D 3L
Nyva Ternopil
3W 3D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Probiy Horodenka at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-3
- Win rate
- 14%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.86
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 7
- They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
Nyva Ternopil away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-5-2
- Win rate
- 22%
- Goals for / match
- 0.89
- Goals against / match
- 0.78
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 9
- They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Probiy Horodenka at home only, Nyva Ternopil away only.
Probiy Horodenka vs Nyva Ternopil head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Probiy Horodenka 0 · draws 1 · Nyva Ternopil 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | Nyva Ternopil | 0-0 | Probiy Horodenka | Persha Liga |
| 2025-09-05 | Probiy Horodenka | 1-2 | Nyva Ternopil | Persha Liga |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Prykarpattia 2026-10-30
- Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Inhulets 2026-10-31
- Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs SK Poltava — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Chernihiv v Yarud Mariupol' — match page 2026-11-01
- Kulykiv v UCSA — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Probiy Horodenka, previous: Oleksandria vs Probiy Horodenka: odds and pick
- Nyva Ternopil, previous: Nyva Ternopil v Kulykiv analysis