Kulykiv vs Probiy Horodenka: model vs market
| Source | Kulykiv | Draw | Probiy Horodenka |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.69 vs 0.63.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Kulykiv and Probiy Horodenka expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.32
- Attack rating (Kulykiv / Probiy Horodenka)
- 1.52 / 0.67
- Defence rating (Kulykiv / Probiy Horodenka)
- 0.88 / 1.88
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Kulykiv vs Probiy Horodenka score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Kulykiv goals. Columns: Probiy Horodenka goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Kulykiv vs Probiy Horodenka goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 46%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Kulykiv vs Probiy Horodenka
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kulykiv | 90% | 1.11 |
| Draw | 7% | 13.72 | |
| Probiy Horodenka | 3% | 38.95 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81% | 1.24 |
| Under 2.5 | 19% | 5.17 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46% | 2.18 |
| No | 54% | 1.84 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Kulykiv or draw) | 97% | 1.03 |
| 12 (either side) | 93% | 1.08 | |
| X2 (draw or Probiy Horodenka) | 10% | 10.15 | |
| Handicap -1 | Kulykiv win by 2+ | 77% | 1.30 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 13% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Kulykiv and Probiy Horodenka recent form
Kulykiv
3W 1D 2L
Probiy Horodenka
0W 0D 6L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Kulykiv at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 3.20
- Goals against / match
- 0.80
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
Probiy Horodenka away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 4.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 0 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Kulykiv at home only, Probiy Horodenka away only.
Kulykiv vs Probiy Horodenka head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Kulykiv 0 · draws 1 · Probiy Horodenka 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-12 | Kulykiv | 1-3 | Probiy Horodenka | Druha Liga |
| 2024-09-01 | Probiy Horodenka | 2-0 | Kulykiv | Druha Liga |
| 2024-08-12 | Probiy Horodenka | 2-2 | Kulykiv | Cup |
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