Club Nacional vs Albion FC preview
In the match between Club Nacional and Albion FC, the 1X2 probabilities show Club Nacional at 56%, while Albion FC stands at 19%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, which occurs 10% of the time in our model. Club Nacional's expected goals are 1.80, compared to Albion FC's 0.97, indicating a stronger offensive performance.
However, the recent form could complicate the outcome. Club Nacional has won 6 of their last 7 matches, while Albion FC has a mix of results with 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 6 games. Both teams to score stands at 53%, suggesting that while Club Nacional is favored, Albion FC could still find the net.
Club Nacional vs Albion FC: model vs market
| Source | Club Nacional | Draw | Albion FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56% | 25% | 19% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 56% | 25% | 19% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 0.97.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Club Nacional and Albion FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.77
- Attack rating (Club Nacional / Albion FC)
- 1.25 / 1.06
- Defence rating (Club Nacional / Albion FC)
- 0.86 / 1.11
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Club Nacional vs Albion FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Club Nacional goals. Columns: Albion FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Club Nacional vs Albion FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Club Nacional vs Albion FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club Nacional | 56% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.97 | |
| Albion FC | 19% | 5.29 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52% | 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 | 48% | 2.10 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.89 |
| No | 47% | 2.12 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Club Nacional or draw) | 81% | 1.23 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Albion FC) | 44% | 2.27 | |
| Handicap -1 | Club Nacional win by 2+ | 33% | 3.07 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Club Nacional and Albion FC recent form
Club Nacional
5W 0D 1L
Albion FC
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Club Nacional at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 10-2-6
- Win rate
- 56%
- Goals for / match
- 1.61
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 18
- They have won 18 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 34 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Albion FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-4-6
- Win rate
- 41%
- Goals for / match
- 1.06
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 17
- They have won 13 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 34 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 9 of 10 penalties (90%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Club Nacional at home only, Albion FC away only.
Club Nacional vs Albion FC head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Club Nacional 1 · draws 0 · Albion FC 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Club Nacional | 1-0 | Albion FC | Uruguay Primera División |
| 2026-05-03 | Albion FC | 3-2 | Club Nacional | Uruguay Primera División |
Other Clausura - 14 fixtures
- Cerro Largo vs Progreso 2026-11-12
- Atletico Torque v Racing Montevideo — match page 2026-11-13
- Central Espanol vs Boston River — team news & stats 2026-11-14
- Deportivo Maldonado vs Cerro 2026-11-14
Before and after this match
- Club Nacional, previous: Danubio vs Club Nacional prediction
- Albion FC, previous: Albion FC – Deportivo Maldonado, 2026-11-02