Atletico Torque vs Racing Montevideo preview
Atletico Torque faces Racing Montevideo with a 46% chance of winning compared to 27% for both a draw and Racing. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which occurs 9% of the time according to our model. Atletico Torque has an expected goals figure of 1.63, while Racing Montevideo sits at 1.29.
Both teams to score stands at 59%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 56%. Recent form shows Atletico Torque with three wins in their last six matches, while Racing Montevideo has only one win in their last six. Despite Atletico Torque's stronger recent form, the head-to-head record shows they have not beaten Racing Montevideo in their last three encounters, with 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss.
Atletico Torque vs Racing Montevideo: model vs market
| Source | Atletico Torque | Draw | Racing Montevideo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44% | 27% | 29% |
| Market | 49% | 27% | 24% |
| Published | 48% | 27% | 25% |
| Edge | -1% | 0% | +1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 1.29.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.92, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.6% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Atletico Torque vs Racing Montevideo odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Atletico Torque, 12 snapshots since 2026-11-06.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Torque | 1.97 | 1.85 | -0.12 |
| Draw | 3.32 | 3.42 | +0.10 |
| Racing Montevideo | 3.56 | 3.81 | +0.25 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Atletico Torque and Racing Montevideo expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.92
- Attack rating (Atletico Torque / Racing Montevideo)
- 1.27 / 1.21
- Defence rating (Atletico Torque / Racing Montevideo)
- 1.01 / 0.98
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Atletico Torque vs Racing Montevideo score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Atletico Torque goals. Columns: Racing Montevideo goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Atletico Torque vs Racing Montevideo goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 59%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Atletico Torque vs Racing Montevideo
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico Torque | 48% | 2.08 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.76 | |
| Racing Montevideo | 25% | 3.95 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56% | 1.79 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 2.27 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59% | 1.68 |
| No | 41% | 2.47 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Atletico Torque or draw) | 75% | 1.34 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Racing Montevideo) | 52% | 1.93 | |
| Handicap -1 | Atletico Torque win by 2+ | 23% | 4.28 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Atletico Torque and Racing Montevideo recent form
Atletico Torque
4W 0D 2L
Racing Montevideo
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Atletico Torque at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 10-2-6
- Win rate
- 56%
- Goals for / match
- 1.78
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 18
- They have won 19 of their 35 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 35 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 35 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Racing Montevideo away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-7-5
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.06
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 17
- They have won 16 of their 35 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 35 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 35 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Atletico Torque at home only, Racing Montevideo away only.
Atletico Torque vs Racing Montevideo head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Atletico Torque 2 · draws 3 · Racing Montevideo 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Racing Montevideo | 1-1 | Atletico Torque | Uruguay Primera División |
| 2025-08-24 | Atletico Torque | 4-0 | Racing Montevideo | Primera División - Clausura |
| 2025-06-29 | Racing Montevideo | 1-1 | Atletico Torque | Uruguay Primera División |
| 2025-02-21 | Racing Montevideo | 3-1 | Atletico Torque | Uruguay Primera División |
| 2023-11-14 | Racing Montevideo | 1-0 | Atletico Torque | Primera División - Clausura |
| 2023-04-08 | Atletico Torque | 0-2 | Racing Montevideo | Primera División - Apertura |
| 2018-08-11 | Racing Montevideo | 0-1 | Atletico Torque | Primera División - Clausura |
| 2018-02-25 | Atletico Torque | 2-2 | Racing Montevideo | Primera División - Apertura |
Other Clausura - 14 fixtures
- Cerro Largo vs Progreso 2026-11-12
- Central Espanol vs Boston River — team news & stats 2026-11-14
- Deportivo Maldonado vs Cerro 2026-11-14
- Club Nacional v Albion FC — match page 2026-11-14
- Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo — team news & stats 2026-11-15
- Defensor Sporting vs Penarol 2026-11-15
- Wanderers v Juventud — match page 2026-11-16
Before and after this match
- Atletico Torque, previous: Boston River vs Atletico Torque: odds and pick
- Racing Montevideo, previous: Racing Montevideo vs Cerro Largo: odds and pick