Central Espanol vs Boston River preview
In the match between Central Espanol and Boston River, the 1X2 probabilities show Boston River at 39% and Central Espanol at 31%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which reflects Boston River's expected goals of 1.25 compared to Central Espanol's 0.95.
While both teams to score stands at 45%, there is a 38% chance of Over 2.5 goals. Central Espanol's recent form shows 6 losses in their last 7 matches, which could hinder their performance. Boston River has a mixed form with 2 wins in their last 6, indicating potential inconsistency.
Central Espanol vs Boston River: model vs market
| Source | Central Espanol | Draw | Boston River |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27% | 31% | 42% |
| Market | 32% | 28% | 40% |
| Published | 31% | 29% | 40% |
| Edge | -1% | +1% | 0% |
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.35, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Central Espanol vs Boston River odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Boston River, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-07.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Espanol | 2.77 | 2.88 | +0.10 |
| Draw | 3.12 | 3.25 | +0.13 |
| Boston River | 2.36 | 2.29 | -0.07 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Central Espanol and Boston River expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.20
- Attack rating (Central Espanol / Boston River)
- 0.65 / 0.89
- Defence rating (Central Espanol / Boston River)
- 1.31 / 1.12
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Central Espanol vs Boston River score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Central Espanol goals. Columns: Boston River goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Central Espanol vs Boston River goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 45%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Central Espanol vs Boston River
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Central Espanol | 31% | 3.27 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.46 | |
| Boston River | 40% | 2.47 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38% | 2.64 |
| Under 2.5 | 62% | 1.61 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45% | 2.21 |
| No | 55% | 1.82 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Central Espanol or draw) | 60% | 1.68 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Boston River) | 69% | 1.44 | |
| Handicap -1 | Boston River win by 2+ | 19% | 5.18 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Central Espanol and Boston River recent form
Central Espanol
1W 0D 5L
Boston River
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Central Espanol at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-4-8
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.11
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 18
- They have won 11 of their 35 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 35 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 35 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Boston River away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-2-11
- Win rate
- 28%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.78
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 18
- They have won 10 of their 35 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 35 matches.
- They have failed to score in 15 of 35 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Central Espanol at home only, Boston River away only.
Central Espanol vs Boston River head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Central Espanol 4 · draws 1 · Boston River 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Boston River | 0-0 | Central Espanol | Uruguay Primera División |
| 2026-05-03 | Boston River | 2-1 | Central Espanol | Uruguay Primera División |
| 2016-04-02 | Boston River | 1-0 | Central Espanol | Segunda División |
| 2015-05-02 | Central Espanol | 0-2 | Boston River | Segunda División |
| 2014-12-02 | Boston River | 1-2 | Central Espanol | Segunda División |
| 2014-04-22 | Boston River | 4-0 | Central Espanol | Segunda División |
| 2013-11-19 | Central Espanol | 3-1 | Boston River | Segunda División |
| 2012-05-12 | Boston River | 1-3 | Central Espanol | Segunda División |
| 2011-12-10 | Central Espanol | 1-0 | Boston River | Segunda División |
Other Clausura - 14 fixtures
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- Club Nacional v Albion FC — match page 2026-11-14
- Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo — team news & stats 2026-11-15
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Before and after this match
- Central Espanol, previous: Cerro vs Central Espanol prediction
- Boston River, previous: Boston River vs Atletico Torque: odds and pick