Boston River vs Atletico Torque preview
In the match between Boston River and Atletico Torque, the 1X2 probabilities show Atletico Torque at 45%, while Boston River sits at 28%. Our model predicts a likely scoreline of 0-1, which occurs with a 9% probability. This suggests that Atletico Torque could edge the match, but Boston River's recent form, with 2 wins in their last 6 matches, could challenge this outcome.
Both teams to score stands at 54%, indicating a reasonable chance for both sides to find the net. However, Boston River's expected goals of 1.17 compared to Atletico Torque's 1.45 points to a potential struggle for the home side. The confidence grade of C reflects uncertainty, meaning unexpected results are possible.
Boston River vs Atletico Torque: model vs market
| Source | Boston River | Draw | Atletico Torque |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29% | 28% | 42% |
| Market | 27% | 27% | 46% |
| Published | 28% | 27% | 45% |
| Edge | +1% | 0% | -1% |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.20, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -0.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Boston River vs Atletico Torque odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Atletico Torque, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boston River | 3.32 | 3.32 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.34 | 3.34 | +0.00 |
| Atletico Torque | 1.95 | 1.95 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Boston River and Atletico Torque expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.61
- Attack rating (Boston River / Atletico Torque)
- 0.88 / 1.30
- Defence rating (Boston River / Atletico Torque)
- 1.04 / 1.02
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Boston River vs Atletico Torque score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Boston River goals. Columns: Atletico Torque goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Boston River vs Atletico Torque goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 54%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Boston River vs Atletico Torque
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Boston River | 28% | 3.62 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.66 | |
| Atletico Torque | 45% | 2.22 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48% | 2.06 |
| Under 2.5 | 52% | 1.94 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54% | 1.86 |
| No | 46% | 2.17 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Boston River or draw) | 55% | 1.82 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Atletico Torque) | 72% | 1.38 | |
| Handicap -1 | Atletico Torque win by 2+ | 21% | 4.75 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Boston River and Atletico Torque recent form
Boston River
2W 1D 3L
Atletico Torque
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Boston River at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-5-6
- Win rate
- 31%
- Goals for / match
- 0.94
- Goals against / match
- 0.81
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 16
- They have won 10 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 33 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atletico Torque away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-4-4
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.56
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 16
- They have won 17 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Boston River at home only, Atletico Torque away only.
Boston River vs Atletico Torque head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Boston River 1 · draws 1 · Atletico Torque 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | Atletico Torque | 4-1 | Boston River | Uruguay Primera División |
| 2025-06-23 | Boston River | 2-1 | Atletico Torque | Uruguay Primera División |
| 2025-02-09 | Boston River | 0-0 | Atletico Torque | Uruguay Primera División |
Other Clausura - 13 fixtures
- Racing Montevideo v Cerro Largo — match page 2026-10-31
- Cerro vs Central Espanol — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Penarol vs Wanderers 2026-10-31
- Progreso v Defensor Sporting — match page 2026-11-01
- Danubio vs Club Nacional 2026-11-01
- Albion FC v Deportivo Maldonado — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Boston River, previous: Cerro Largo vs Boston River: odds and pick
- Atletico Torque, previous: Atletico Torque v Cerro analysis