Albion FC vs Deportivo Maldonado preview
In the match between Albion FC and Deportivo Maldonado, the 1X2 probabilities show Deportivo Maldonado at 41%, Albion FC at 32%, and a draw at 28%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, with a 9% chance. Both teams to score sits at 57%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 53%.
Albion FC's recent form is W-W-W-W-L-L, while Deportivo Maldonado has a stronger recent record of W-L-D-W-W-W. Expected goals are 1.23 for Albion FC and 1.55 for Deportivo Maldonado. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions. A surprise result could arise if Albion FC manages to improve their scoring efficiency.
Albion FC vs Deportivo Maldonado: model vs market
| Source | Albion FC | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29% | 27% | 43% |
| Market | 32% | 28% | 40% |
| Published | 32% | 28% | 41% |
| Edge | -1% | 0% | +1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 1.23.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.38, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Albion FC vs Deportivo Maldonado odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Deportivo Maldonado, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Albion FC | 2.81 | 2.81 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.30 | 3.30 | +0.00 |
| Deportivo Maldonado | 2.28 | 2.28 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Albion FC and Deportivo Maldonado expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.78
- Attack rating (Albion FC / Deportivo Maldonado)
- 1.17 / 1.19
- Defence rating (Albion FC / Deportivo Maldonado)
- 1.22 / 0.81
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Albion FC vs Deportivo Maldonado score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Albion FC goals. Columns: Deportivo Maldonado goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Albion FC vs Deportivo Maldonado goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 57%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Albion FC vs Deportivo Maldonado
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Albion FC | 32% | 3.16 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.63 | |
| Deportivo Maldonado | 41% | 2.45 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 2.11 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57% | 1.76 |
| No | 43% | 2.32 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Albion FC or draw) | 59% | 1.69 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Deportivo Maldonado) | 68% | 1.46 | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Maldonado win by 2+ | 22% | 4.45 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Albion FC and Deportivo Maldonado recent form
Albion FC
4W 0D 2L
Deportivo Maldonado
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Albion FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-3-8
- Win rate
- 35%
- Goals for / match
- 1.71
- Goals against / match
- 1.59
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 17
- They have won 12 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 9 of 10 penalties (90%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo Maldonado away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-3-7
- Win rate
- 38%
- Goals for / match
- 1.38
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 16
- They have won 17 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Albion FC at home only, Deportivo Maldonado away only.
Albion FC vs Deportivo Maldonado head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Albion FC 1 · draws 1 · Deportivo Maldonado 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Deportivo Maldonado | 1-1 | Albion FC | Uruguay Primera División |
| 2026-04-25 | Deportivo Maldonado | 1-2 | Albion FC | Uruguay Primera División |
Other Clausura - 13 fixtures
- Racing Montevideo v Cerro Largo — match page 2026-10-31
- Cerro vs Central Espanol — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Penarol vs Wanderers 2026-10-31
- Progreso v Defensor Sporting — match page 2026-11-01
- Boston River vs Atletico Torque — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Danubio vs Club Nacional 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Albion FC, previous: Central Espanol v Albion FC analysis
- Deportivo Maldonado, previous: Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio prediction