Kabwe Warriors vs Roan United preview
In the Zambia Super League fixture between Kabwe Warriors and Roan United, the 1X2 probabilities show a strong favor for Kabwe Warriors at 60%, compared to Roan United's 14%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 14% chance of occurring. However, recent form could impact this outcome, as Kabwe Warriors have only one win in their last six matches, while Roan United has shown slight improvement with a win in their last game.
Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals each have a 43% probability according to our model. This indicates a potential for low-scoring action, but if Roan United's recent form carries through, they could challenge Kabwe Warriors more than expected. The confidence grade is C, suggesting uncertainty in the match's outcome.
Kabwe Warriors vs Roan United: model vs market
| Source | Kabwe Warriors | Draw | Roan United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55% | 29% | 16% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 55% | 29% | 16% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.47 vs 0.68.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Kabwe Warriors and Roan United expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.15
- Attack rating (Kabwe Warriors / Roan United)
- 1.03 / 0.82
- Defence rating (Kabwe Warriors / Roan United)
- 1.17 / 1.33
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Kabwe Warriors vs Roan United score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Kabwe Warriors goals. Columns: Roan United goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Kabwe Warriors vs Roan United goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 39%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Kabwe Warriors vs Roan United
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kabwe Warriors | 55% | 1.82 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.47 | |
| Roan United | 16% | 6.23 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36% | 2.74 |
| Under 2.5 | 64% | 1.57 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39% | 2.55 |
| No | 61% | 1.64 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Kabwe Warriors or draw) | 84% | 1.19 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Roan United) | 45% | 2.23 | |
| Handicap -1 | Kabwe Warriors win by 2+ | 29% | 3.45 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Kabwe Warriors and Roan United recent form
Kabwe Warriors
1W 3D 2L
Roan United
1W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Kabwe Warriors at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
Roan United away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Kabwe Warriors at home only, Roan United away only.
Kabwe Warriors vs Roan United head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Kabwe Warriors 2 · draws 1 · Roan United 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-09-27 | Roan United | 0-0 | Kabwe Warriors | Super League |
| 2014-05-25 | Kabwe Warriors | 1-4 | Roan United | Super League |
| 2013-08-31 | Kabwe Warriors | 3-1 | Roan United | Super League |
| 2013-04-13 | Roan United | 0-1 | Kabwe Warriors | Super League |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Nkana vs Kansanshi Dynamos 2026-11-04
- Red Arrows v Nkwazi — match page 2026-11-04
- Zanaco vs Man Utd Zambia Academy — team news & stats 2026-11-04
- NAPSA Stars vs Power Dynamos — team news & stats 2026-11-05
- Konkola Blades vs Trident 2026-11-05
- Green Buffaloes v ZESCO United — match page 2026-11-05
- Nchanga Rangers vs Makeni All Stars — team news & stats 2026-11-05
- Mutondo Stars vs Mufulira Wanderers 2026-11-05
Before and after this match
- Kabwe Warriors, previous: Green Eagles vs Kabwe Warriors: odds and pick
- Roan United, previous: Mutondo Stars vs Roan United: odds and pick