Zanaco vs Man Utd Zambia Academy preview
In the fixture between Zanaco and Man Utd Zambia Academy, the 1X2 probabilities show Man Utd Zambia Academy at 39% and Zanaco at 32%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.19 for Zanaco and 1.35 for Man Utd Zambia Academy.
While both teams to score stands at 53%, the recent form indicates that Zanaco has struggled with a record of W-D-L-W-L-D, compared to Man Utd Zambia Academy's stronger W-W-W-D-W-L. This recent performance could challenge the expected outcome, making it possible for Zanaco to secure a better result than anticipated.
Zanaco vs Man Utd Zambia Academy: model vs market
| Source | Zanaco | Draw | Man Utd Zambia Academy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32% | 30% | 38% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 32% | 30% | 38% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Zanaco and Man Utd Zambia Academy expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.42
- Attack rating (Zanaco / Man Utd Zambia Academy)
- 1.43 / 1.26
- Defence rating (Zanaco / Man Utd Zambia Academy)
- 1.42 / 0.75
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Zanaco vs Man Utd Zambia Academy score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Zanaco goals. Columns: Man Utd Zambia Academy goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Zanaco vs Man Utd Zambia Academy goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 50%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Zanaco vs Man Utd Zambia Academy
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zanaco | 32% | 3.16 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.33 | |
| Man Utd Zambia Academy | 38% | 2.61 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44% | 2.29 |
| Under 2.5 | 56% | 1.78 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | 1.98 |
| No | 50% | 2.02 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Zanaco or draw) | 62% | 1.62 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.43 | |
| X2 (draw or Man Utd Zambia Academy) | 68% | 1.46 | |
| Handicap -1 | Man Utd Zambia Academy win by 2+ | 18% | 5.66 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Zanaco and Man Utd Zambia Academy recent form
Zanaco
3W 1D 2L
Man Utd Zambia Academy
4W 2D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Zanaco at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
Man Utd Zambia Academy away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 2
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Zanaco at home only, Man Utd Zambia Academy away only.
Zanaco vs Man Utd Zambia Academy head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Zanaco 1 · draws 4 · Man Utd Zambia Academy 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | Zanaco | 0-1 | Man Utd Zambia Academy | Zambia Super League |
| 2025-08-16 | Man Utd Zambia Academy | 0-0 | Zanaco | Zambia Super League |
| 2025-02-09 | Zanaco | 0-2 | Man Utd Zambia Academy | Super League |
| 2024-09-29 | Man Utd Zambia Academy | 2-2 | Zanaco | Super League |
| 2023-12-30 | Zanaco | 0-0 | Man Utd Zambia Academy | Super League |
| 2023-08-30 | Man Utd Zambia Academy | 1-1 | Zanaco | Super League |
| 2023-05-13 | Man Utd Zambia Academy | 2-1 | Zanaco | Super League |
| 2022-12-03 | Zanaco | 3-2 | Man Utd Zambia Academy | Super League |
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Before and after this match
- Zanaco, previous: Trident – Zanaco, 2026-10-31
- Man Utd Zambia Academy, previous: Nchanga Rangers vs Man Utd Zambia Academy: odds and pick