Konkola Blades vs Trident preview
In the Zambia Super League fixture between Konkola Blades and Trident, the 1X2 probabilities show Konkola Blades at 59%, with the most likely scoreline being 2-1 (10%). Konkola Blades have a strong recent form with 5 wins out of 6, while Trident has struggled, recording 1 win in their last 5 matches.
The model suggests a high chance for Over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 60%. However, Trident's recent performances could lead to a lower scoring game than expected, particularly given their average expected goals of just 1.13. This could impact the overall outcome and the likelihood of hitting those goal thresholds.
Konkola Blades vs Trident: model vs market
| Source | Konkola Blades | Draw | Trident |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59% | 23% | 19% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 59% | 23% | 19% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.10 vs 1.13.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Konkola Blades and Trident expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.23
- Attack rating (Konkola Blades / Trident)
- 1.45 / 1.62
- Defence rating (Konkola Blades / Trident)
- 0.98 / 1.35
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Konkola Blades vs Trident score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Konkola Blades goals. Columns: Trident goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Konkola Blades vs Trident goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 60%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Konkola Blades vs Trident
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Konkola Blades | 59% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.44 | |
| Trident | 19% | 5.29 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63% | 1.60 |
| Under 2.5 | 37% | 2.67 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60% | 1.66 |
| No | 40% | 2.52 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Konkola Blades or draw) | 81% | 1.23 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.29 | |
| X2 (draw or Trident) | 41% | 2.41 | |
| Handicap -1 | Konkola Blades win by 2+ | 37% | 2.73 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Konkola Blades and Trident recent form
Konkola Blades
5W 0D 1L
Trident
1W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Konkola Blades at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 2
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
Trident away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 1
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Konkola Blades at home only, Trident away only.
Konkola Blades vs Trident head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Konkola Blades 0 · draws 1 · Trident 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-15 | Konkola Blades | 0-1 | Trident | Super League |
| 2023-12-03 | Trident | 0-0 | Konkola Blades | Super League |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Kabwe Warriors v Roan United — match page 2026-11-04
- Nkana vs Kansanshi Dynamos 2026-11-04
- Red Arrows v Nkwazi — match page 2026-11-04
- NAPSA Stars vs Power Dynamos — team news & stats 2026-11-05
- Green Buffaloes v ZESCO United — match page 2026-11-05
- Nchanga Rangers vs Makeni All Stars — team news & stats 2026-11-05
- Mutondo Stars vs Mufulira Wanderers 2026-11-05
- Chirundu Utd v Green Eagles — match page 2026-11-05
Before and after this match
- Konkola Blades, previous: Makeni All Stars vs Konkola Blades prediction
- Trident, previous: Trident – Zanaco, 2026-10-31