Nkana vs Kansanshi Dynamos preview
In the Zambia Super League fixture between Nkana and Kansanshi Dynamos, the 1X2 probabilities show Nkana at 61% to win, while Kansanshi Dynamos is at 13%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, with a 16% chance. Nkana has a higher expected goals figure at 1.66 compared to 0.64 for Kansanshi Dynamos.
However, both teams to score stands at 39%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 40%. This indicates that while Nkana is favored, there is a possibility of a lower-scoring match or even a draw, which could impact the final outcome. Recent form shows Nkana with 2 wins in their last 5 matches, while Kansanshi Dynamos has only 1 win in the same period.
Nkana vs Kansanshi Dynamos: model vs market
| Source | Nkana | Draw | Kansanshi Dynamos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59% | 27% | 14% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 59% | 27% | 14% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.60 vs 0.67.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Nkana and Kansanshi Dynamos expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.27
- Attack rating (Nkana / Kansanshi Dynamos)
- 1.11 / 1.08
- Defence rating (Nkana / Kansanshi Dynamos)
- 0.87 / 1.34
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Nkana vs Kansanshi Dynamos score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Nkana goals. Columns: Kansanshi Dynamos goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Nkana vs Kansanshi Dynamos goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 40%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Nkana vs Kansanshi Dynamos
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nkana | 59% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.71 | |
| Kansanshi Dynamos | 14% | 7.01 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40% | 2.52 |
| Under 2.5 | 60% | 1.66 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40% | 2.50 |
| No | 60% | 1.67 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Nkana or draw) | 86% | 1.17 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Kansanshi Dynamos) | 41% | 2.43 | |
| Handicap -1 | Nkana win by 2+ | 33% | 3.05 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Nkana and Kansanshi Dynamos recent form
Nkana
3W 2D 1L
Kansanshi Dynamos
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Nkana at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 3.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 2
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Kansanshi Dynamos away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.33
- Goals against / match
- 2.33
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Nkana at home only, Kansanshi Dynamos away only.
Nkana vs Kansanshi Dynamos head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Nkana 3 · draws 4 · Kansanshi Dynamos 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Kansanshi Dynamos | 0-0 | Nkana | Zambia Super League |
| 2026-01-31 | Nkana | 1-0 | Kansanshi Dynamos | Zambia Super League |
| 2024-05-19 | Nkana | 1-0 | Kansanshi Dynamos | Super League |
| 2023-12-10 | Kansanshi Dynamos | 0-0 | Nkana | Super League |
| 2023-06-03 | Nkana | 2-0 | Kansanshi Dynamos | Super League |
| 2022-12-10 | Kansanshi Dynamos | 0-0 | Nkana | Super League |
| 2022-02-26 | Nkana | 0-0 | Kansanshi Dynamos | Super League |
| 2021-10-23 | Kansanshi Dynamos | 1-0 | Nkana | Super League |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Kabwe Warriors v Roan United — match page 2026-11-04
- Red Arrows v Nkwazi — match page 2026-11-04
- Zanaco vs Man Utd Zambia Academy — team news & stats 2026-11-04
- NAPSA Stars vs Power Dynamos — team news & stats 2026-11-05
- Konkola Blades vs Trident 2026-11-05
- Green Buffaloes v ZESCO United — match page 2026-11-05
- Nchanga Rangers vs Makeni All Stars — team news & stats 2026-11-05
- Mutondo Stars vs Mufulira Wanderers 2026-11-05
Before and after this match
- Nkana, previous: Power Dynamos – Nkana, 2026-10-31
- Kansanshi Dynamos, previous: Kansanshi Dynamos vs NAPSA Stars prediction