Nchanga Rangers vs Makeni All Stars preview
In the Zambia Super League fixture between Nchanga Rangers and Makeni All Stars, the 1X2 probabilities show Nchanga Rangers at 57%, while Makeni All Stars sit at 15%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 16% chance according to our model.
Nchanga Rangers have an expected goals figure of 1.52, compared to 0.65 for Makeni All Stars. However, the chances for Over 2.5 goals are only 37%, and both teams to score stands at 38%. This indicates that while Nchanga Rangers are favored, the match could be closer than the numbers suggest, especially if Makeni All Stars can improve their recent form.
Nchanga Rangers vs Makeni All Stars: model vs market
| Source | Nchanga Rangers | Draw | Makeni All Stars |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54% | 32% | 14% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 54% | 32% | 14% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.28 vs 0.53.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Nchanga Rangers and Makeni All Stars expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.81
- Attack rating (Nchanga Rangers / Makeni All Stars)
- 0.63 / 0.72
- Defence rating (Nchanga Rangers / Makeni All Stars)
- 1.04 / 1.89
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Nchanga Rangers vs Makeni All Stars score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Nchanga Rangers goals. Columns: Makeni All Stars goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Nchanga Rangers vs Makeni All Stars goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 31%
- No goals (0–0)
- 17%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Nchanga Rangers vs Makeni All Stars
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nchanga Rangers | 54% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.15 | |
| Makeni All Stars | 14% | 6.96 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 27% | 3.66 |
| Under 2.5 | 73% | 1.38 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 31% | 3.23 |
| No | 69% | 1.45 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Nchanga Rangers or draw) | 86% | 1.17 |
| 12 (either side) | 68% | 1.46 | |
| X2 (draw or Makeni All Stars) | 46% | 2.17 | |
| Handicap -1 | Nchanga Rangers win by 2+ | 26% | 3.82 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 28% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Nchanga Rangers and Makeni All Stars recent form
Nchanga Rangers
1W 1D 4L
Makeni All Stars
0W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Nchanga Rangers at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 2
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 5 matches.
Makeni All Stars away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 3.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Nchanga Rangers at home only, Makeni All Stars away only.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Kabwe Warriors v Roan United — match page 2026-11-04
- Nkana vs Kansanshi Dynamos 2026-11-04
- Red Arrows v Nkwazi — match page 2026-11-04
- NAPSA Stars vs Power Dynamos — team news & stats 2026-11-05
- Konkola Blades vs Trident 2026-11-05
- Green Buffaloes v ZESCO United — match page 2026-11-05
- Mutondo Stars vs Mufulira Wanderers 2026-11-05
- Chirundu Utd v Green Eagles — match page 2026-11-05
Before and after this match
- Nchanga Rangers, previous: Nchanga Rangers vs Man Utd Zambia Academy: odds and pick
- Makeni All Stars, previous: Makeni All Stars vs Konkola Blades prediction