Zambia Super League · Matchday 2

Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Kansanshi Dynamos

Alin prediction The draw

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 0 – 0

21% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Man Utd Zambia AcademyDrawKansanshi Dynamos

Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Kansanshi Dynamos preview

The fixture between Man Utd Zambia Academy and Kansanshi Dynamos shows a close match with a 34% chance for Man Utd Zambia Academy to win, a 38% chance for a draw, and a 28% chance for Kansanshi Dynamos to secure victory. The most likely scoreline is 0-0 at 21%, indicating a potential lack of goals. Both teams to score has a 32% probability, while Over 2.5 goals sits at just 22%.

Recent form suggests both teams have struggled to find consistent wins, with Man Utd Zambia Academy's last six matches yielding two wins and Kansanshi Dynamos having two wins. Expected goals are low, with Man Utd Zambia Academy at 0.85 and Kansanshi Dynamos at 0.75, which could lead to a low-scoring affair.

Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Kansanshi Dynamos: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceMan Utd Zambia AcademyDrawKansanshi Dynamos
Model34%38%28%
Market———
Published34%38%28%
Edge———

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Man Utd Zambia Academy and Kansanshi Dynamos expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.85Man Utd Zambia Academy
0.75Kansanshi Dynamos
Total expected goals
1.60
Attack rating (Man Utd Zambia Academy / Kansanshi Dynamos)
1.21 / 0.93
Defence rating (Man Utd Zambia Academy / Kansanshi Dynamos)
1.14 / 0.67

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Kansanshi Dynamos score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 21.4% 13.9% 5.7% 1.4% 0.3% 1 15.8% 14.2% 4.9% 1.2% 0.3% 2 7.2% 5.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 3 2.0% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 4+ 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Man Utd Zambia Academy goals. Columns: Kansanshi Dynamos goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Kansanshi Dynamos goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 79%
Over 1.5 49%
Over 2.5 22%
Over 3.5 8%
Both teams to score
32%
No goals (0–0)
21%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Kansanshi Dynamos

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Man Utd Zambia Academy34%2.96
Draw38%2.64
Kansanshi Dynamos28%3.52
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.522%4.60
Under 2.578%1.28
Both teams to scoreYes32%3.17
No68%1.46
Double chance1X (Man Utd Zambia Academy or draw)72%1.40
12 (either side)62%1.61
X2 (draw or Kansanshi Dynamos)66%1.51
Handicap -1Man Utd Zambia Academy win by 2+12%8.40
Push (exactly one goal)22%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Man Utd Zambia Academy and Kansanshi Dynamos recent form

Man Utd Zambia Academy 3W 1D 2L
Kansanshi Dynamos 2W 3D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Kansanshi Dynamos away

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.00
Goals against / match
0.00
Clean sheets
1 of 1

League matches this season before kick-off: Man Utd Zambia Academy at home only, Kansanshi Dynamos away only.

Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Kansanshi Dynamos head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Man Utd Zambia Academy 0 · draws 1 · Kansanshi Dynamos 1.

Man Utd Zambia AcademyDrawsKansanshi Dynamos
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-04-29Man Utd Zambia Academy0-3Kansanshi DynamosZambia Super League
2025-11-29Kansanshi Dynamos0-0Man Utd Zambia AcademyZambia Super League

Other Matchday 2 fixtures

Prediction snapshot The draw Predicted score 0 – 0 C Bet on this match