Nkana vs Makeni All Stars preview
The match between Nkana and Makeni All Stars has a 41% probability of ending in a draw, making it the most likely outcome. The expected goals for Nkana are 0.82, while Makeni All Stars sit at 0.54. This suggests a low-scoring affair, with the most likely scoreline being 0-0 at 27%.
The chances of Over 2.5 goals are just 16%, and both teams to score stands at 25%. Nkana's recent form shows a mix of results with two wins, two draws, and a loss, while Makeni All Stars have only managed a draw in their latest match. The confidence grade is C, indicating uncertainty in the predictions.
Nkana vs Makeni All Stars: model vs market
| Source | Nkana | Draw | Makeni All Stars |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38% | 41% | 21% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 38% | 41% | 21% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Nkana and Makeni All Stars expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.36
- Attack rating (Nkana / Makeni All Stars)
- 0.94 / 0.83
- Defence rating (Nkana / Makeni All Stars)
- 0.91 / 0.83
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Nkana vs Makeni All Stars score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Nkana goals. Columns: Makeni All Stars goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Nkana vs Makeni All Stars goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 25%
- No goals (0–0)
- 27%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Nkana vs Makeni All Stars
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nkana | 38% | 2.63 |
| Draw | 41% | 2.46 | |
| Makeni All Stars | 21% | 4.69 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 16% | 6.35 |
| Under 2.5 | 84% | 1.19 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 25% | 4.07 |
| No | 75% | 1.33 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Nkana or draw) | 79% | 1.27 |
| 12 (either side) | 59% | 1.68 | |
| X2 (draw or Makeni All Stars) | 62% | 1.61 | |
| Handicap -1 | Nkana win by 2+ | 13% | 7.58 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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| 4 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Nkana and Makeni All Stars recent form
Nkana
2W 2D 2L
Makeni All Stars
0W 1D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
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