Roan United vs Green Buffaloes preview
Roan United hosts Green Buffaloes with a 49% chance of winning according to the model. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which has a 19% probability. Roan United's expected goals stand at 1.18, while Green Buffaloes have a lower expected goals figure of 0.58.
However, the model's confidence grade is C, indicating uncertainty. Both teams to score has a 32% probability, and Over 2.5 goals is at 26%. If Green Buffaloes can improve their attacking form, they might challenge Roan United more than expected.
Roan United vs Green Buffaloes: model vs market
| Source | Roan United | Draw | Green Buffaloes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49% | 33% | 17% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 49% | 33% | 17% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.18 vs 0.58.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Roan United and Green Buffaloes expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.76
- Attack rating (Roan United / Green Buffaloes)
- 1.21 / 0.80
- Defence rating (Roan United / Green Buffaloes)
- 1.02 / 0.93
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Roan United vs Green Buffaloes score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Roan United goals. Columns: Green Buffaloes goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Roan United vs Green Buffaloes goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 32%
- No goals (0–0)
- 18%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Roan United vs Green Buffaloes
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Roan United | 49% | 2.02 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.99 | |
| Green Buffaloes | 17% | 5.88 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 26% | 3.86 |
| Under 2.5 | 74% | 1.35 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32% | 3.15 |
| No | 68% | 1.46 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Roan United or draw) | 83% | 1.21 |
| 12 (either side) | 67% | 1.50 | |
| X2 (draw or Green Buffaloes) | 51% | 1.98 | |
| Handicap -1 | Roan United win by 2+ | 23% | 4.43 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Roan United and Green Buffaloes recent form
Roan United
1W 0D 0L
Green Buffaloes
3W 0D 3L
Last 1 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
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